Santutxu FC vs CD Basconia II prediction for the Regional League clash on Nov 16, 2025, at 10:15. Santutxu FC enters the match as the favorite with a 55% win probability, while CD Basconia II has just a 20% chance of pulling off an upset.
Santutxu FC's recent form has been mixed: L, W, L, D, D in their last five matches. They lost 3-0 away to Club Bermeo Taldea on May 22, but secured a 2-0 home win over Somorrostro on May 17. Earlier, they fell 0-1 at home to SD San Pedro, drew 1-1 with Amorebieta B, and played a 2-2 draw with CD Getxo. Overall, they have picked up 5 points from their last 5 games (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses).
CD Basconia II's form is poor: W, L, L, L, L in their last five. They beat CD Getxo 3-1 at home on May 24, but suffered four consecutive defeats: 2-3 at Uritarra CD, 0-1 at Padura, 0-2 at home to SD Erandio, and a 0-1 loss at Santutxu FC in the reverse fixture. They have managed just 3 points from 5 matches, scoring 5 goals and conceding 8.
There is no prior head-to-head record between Santutxu FC and CD Basconia II. This will be their first competitive meeting, so no historical data can be used to assess the rivalry.
Based on the available data and the home/away factor, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Santutxu FC win โ 55%, draw โ 25%, CD Basconia II win โ 20%. The home side gets the edge thanks to slightly better recent form (two draws and a win in their last five) and the home advantage. CD Basconia II's four-loss streak and lack of previous meetings make an away victory unlikely. The numbers clearly point to a Santutxu FC win as the most probable result.
As of now, bookmakers have not released odds for this Regional League fixture. Our prediction is based purely on statistical analysis. Considering the form and home advantage, we predict a Santutxu FC victory, possibly with a low-scoring affair. A 1-0 or 2-0 result in favor of the home side seems plausible.