San Roque de Lepe - UD Tomares prediction 1 February 2026

The San Roque de Lepe vs UD Tomares prediction for this Tercera Federacion match on February 1, 2026, at 16:00 local time points to a home advantage. Based on current form and historical head-to-head records, San Roque de Lepe is the favorite with a 45% chance of winning.

Team Form

San Roque de Lepe are in poor shape with a recent results string of L, L, D, L, L. In their last five matches they managed only one goal and lost four times: 0-2 at Cordoba B, 0-1 at Conil, 0-0 at home to Atletico Central, 1-2 at Club Deportivo Utrera, and 0-3 at home against Dos Hermanas. The attack has struggled massively, failing to score in four of those games.

UD Tomares come into the fixture with mixed results of W, D, L, L, W over their last five. They beat Cadiz B 2-1, drew 2-2 at Coria CF, suffered a heavy 0-5 defeat at Ciudad de Lucena, lost 0-2 at home to AD Ceuta B, and won 3-1 at Bollullos CF. While they can score away, the 5-0 loss shows defensive frailties.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met twice previously before this clash. The head-to-head record stands at one win for San Roque de Lepe and one draw, with UD Tomares yet to win. The meetings were a 1-0 home victory for San Roque de Lepe on January 19, 2025, and a 1-1 draw when UD Tomares hosted on September 21, 2025. Historically, San Roque de Lepe have dominated at home.

League Table Positions

Detailed league standings for San Roque de Lepe and UD Tomares are not available in the provided data. The available Tercera Federacion table includes other teams but not these two, so a direct positional comparison cannot be made.

Win Probability: San Roque de Lepe or UD Tomares?

We calculate the win probability for this match as follows:

• San Roque de Lepe win – 45%
• Draw – 30%
• UD Tomares win – 25%

This prediction is based on several factors. Home advantage boosts San Roque de Lepe’s chances, despite their terrible recent form (zero wins in five). The head-to-head record strongly favours the home side (one win and one draw in two prior meetings, with the only home fixture being a 1-0 victory). UD Tomares have a 25% chance because they have won two of their last five away games and can score, but their inconsistency and the historical trend against this opponent keep them as underdogs. The draw percentage reflects the possibility of a low-scoring stalemate, given San Roque de Lepe’s attacking woes.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific bookmaker odds are provided for this fixture. San Roque de Lepe vs UD Tomares prediction based purely on the stats suggests a narrow home win is the most likely outcome. The final score could well mirror the previous 1-0 home victory, but a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out. Punters looking for betting tips should note the strong home head-to-head record and the poor attacking form of the hosts.