San Lorenzo de Almagro - Estudiantes Rio Cuarto prediction 22 February 2026

San Lorenzo de Almagro vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto prediction: the Primera Division match kicks off on Feb 22, 2026 at 20:00 UTC. San Lorenzo de Almagro, playing at home, is the favorite with a 55% win probability, based on head-to-head dominance and Estudiantes Rio Cuarto's poor away form.

Team Form

San Lorenzo de Almagro come into this match on a five-game winless run (four draws, one loss). Their last results: a 0-0 home draw against Deportivo Riestra in the Cup, a 0-1 home loss to Deportivo Recoleta in the Copa Sudamericana, a 2-2 draw at Santos SP, a 1-1 draw at River Plate, and a 0-0 draw at Deportivo Cuenca. Despite the lack of wins, they have only lost once in that stretch and held strong opponents like River Plate.

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto are in dire form, especially on the road. Their last five matches have yielded one draw and four defeats: a 0-2 home loss to Instituto AC Cordoba, a 1-2 home loss to Rosario Central, a 0-1 away loss to Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata, a 1-2 home loss to Barracas Central, and a 0-0 home draw with San Martin Tucuman in the Cup. They have struggled to score, netting just 2 goals in those five outings.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, San Lorenzo de Almagro have dominated this fixture. In seven previous meetings across all competitions, San Lorenzo have won 4 times, with 3 draws, and Estudiantes Rio Cuarto have never won. The most recent clash, on Feb 22, 2026, saw San Lorenzo win 2-0 at home. The head-to-head clearly favors the home side.

League Table Positions

In the current Primera Division standings (based on the top 12 available), neither San Lorenzo de Almagro nor Estudiantes Rio Cuarto feature, indicating they are in the lower half of the table. While exact positions are unavailable, both teams appear to be mid-to-lower table sides. San Lorenzo likely hold a slight edge given their historical performances and home advantage, even though their recent league results have been mixed.

Win Probability: San Lorenzo or Estudiantes?

Taking all available data into account, we estimate the win probabilities as follows: San Lorenzo de Almagro 55%, draw 30%, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 15%. San Lorenzo's home status, unbeaten H2H record (4 wins, 3 draws), and Estudiantes' poor away form (1 draw, 4 losses in last 5 away games) make the home side clear favorites. Although San Lorenzo have drawn most of their recent matches, they are difficult to beat, and Estudiantes' attack has been toothless. A draw is a realistic second outcome, but an away win is improbable.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific bookmaker odds are provided in the data. However, based on the statistics and team form, San Lorenzo de Almagro are the team most likely to win. Our match prediction is a home victory for San Lorenzo, possibly with a clean sheet given Estudiantes Rio Cuarto's scoring woes. Betting tips would point towards a San Lorenzo win, and the under 2.5 goals market also looks attractive given both teams' recent goal outputs.