Sampdoria - US Avellino 1912 prediction 22 March 2026

The Sampdoria vs US Avellino 1912 prediction for this Serie B clash on March 22, 2026, at 16:15 points towards a home victory. Based on the available match data, including recent form and head-to-head record, Sampdoria enters this match as the favorite with a calculated win probability of 62%.

Team Form

Sampdoria's recent form has been inconsistent, with results reading L, W, D, L, W over their last five matches. In their most recent outing, they suffered a 1-0 away defeat against Reggiana on May 08. Prior to that, they secured a solid 1-0 home win against Sudtirol on May 01 and played out a 0-0 draw at Cesena on April 25.

US Avellino 1912's last five results show L, W, L, W, W. They are coming off a heavy 3-0 loss away to Catanzaro on May 12. Before that defeat, they earned a 1-0 home win against Modena on May 08 and a 2-0 victory over Bari on April 24, demonstrating their capability to secure points.

Head-to-Head Record

In the head-to-head record between these two sides, the tally stands perfectly balanced with 1 home win for Sampdoria and 1 away win for US Avellino 1912. There have been no draws. Notably, the most recent match was this exact fixture, played on March 22, 2026, where Sampdoria secured a 2-1 victory. Earlier in the season, US Avellino 1912 won 2-1 at home on January 10, 2026.

League Table Positions

Looking at the overall Serie B standings, US Avellino 1912 sits in 8th place with 49 points from 38 matches, having recorded 13 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses. Sampdoria's final league position is not listed in the provided table summary, but their opponent's mid-table standing and negative goal difference provide context for this matchup. The home and away form tables highlight a competitive edge, with Avellino ranking 8th in home form with 32 points from 19 games.

Win Probability: Sampdoria or US Avellino 1912?

Who will win this match? We have calculated the outcome probabilities based on recent team form, the head-to-head matchup, and the home advantage factor. No specific odds were available in the data to use as a base, so the estimate is derived solely from statistical indicators.

Sampdoria has a 62% chance of winning. The draw probability is estimated at 23%, and US Avellino 1912 has a 15% chance of securing an away victory. The reasoning favors the home side: Sampdoria won the direct reverse fixture and has the advantage of playing at home, despite a mixed recent run. Avellino's away form has been shaky, highlighted by a recent 3-0 loss.

Odds & Match Prediction

While the bookmakers' odds were not provided in the source data, the statistical analysis clearly points to Sampdoria as the expected winner. Based on the stats and the calculated probabilities, the final Sampdoria vs US Avellino 1912 prediction is a home win for Sampdoria. The data suggests backing the home team to secure the victory is the most likely match outcome.