ASD Victor San Marino - Sammaurese prediction 3 May 2026

The Sammaurese vs ASD Victor San Marino prediction for the Serie D match on May 03 at 13:00 gives the away side a clear edge. Based on recent form and head-to-head history, ASD Victor San Marino has a 50% chance to win, while Sammaurese struggles with a 25% win probability. The draw stands at 25%.

Team Form

Sammaurese has been in poor form ahead of this match. In their last four outings they lost 0-3 away to Ancona Matelica 1905 and 0-1 away to Termoli Calcio, followed by two goalless draws – at home to L'Aquila Calcio 1927 AC and again away to Termoli Calcio. That sequence shows zero wins, two draws and two defeats, with the attack failing to score in three of those four games.

ASD Victor San Marino arrives in much better shape. Their last four results include a 2-1 away win at Notaresco/San Nicolo 1924, a 1-3 home loss to Teramo, a 2-2 draw at Sora Calcio 1907 and a convincing 3-0 home victory over Fossombrone. With two wins, one draw and one loss in that stretch, they have clearly been more consistent and dangerous.

Head-to-Head Record

The all-time Serie D meetings heavily favor ASD Victor San Marino. In five previous clashes, Sammaurese has never won (0 victories), the fixture has produced two draws, and Victor San Marino has taken all three points three times. The most recent encounter – on this same date – finished 1-0 to Victor San Marino at home. Even when Sammaurese hosted, they could only manage a 0-0 draw and a 0-1 loss, failing to beat this opponent.

Summary:

• Matches: 5
• Sammaurese wins: 0
• Draws: 2
• ASD Victor San Marino wins: 3

League Table Positions

The provided standings data (top 12 of Serie D group table) do not include Sammaurese or ASD Victor San Marino. Therefore, a direct league position comparison is not possible. However, the teams’ recent form and head-to-head dominance give a clearer picture of the likely match dynamics.

Win Probability: Sammaurese or ASD Victor San Marino?

After evaluating all available data, the win probability distribution is:

• Sammaurese win: 25%
• Draw: 25%
• ASD Victor San Marino win: 50%

This calculation is based on the H2H record (0 wins for Sammaurese, 3 for Victor San Marino, 2 draws), the contrasting recent form (Sammaurese two losses, two draws in last four; Victor San Marino two wins, one draw, one loss in the same period) and the home advantage factor. While Sammaurese plays at home, they have never won a home match against this opponent. Victor San Marino’s superior results make them the clear favorite.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available in the provided data set, so we rely on statistical analysis. Based on all the facts – head-to-head superiority, stronger recent performances and the inability of Sammaurese to score consistently – the match prediction backs ASD Victor San Marino to win. Our final verdict is an away victory.

For those looking for betting tips, a Victor San Marino win looks the most sensible selection on the 1X2 market. The lack of goals in Sammaurese’s recent home matches also suggests a low-scoring affair, but the main tip is the away side to take all three points.