Samgurali Tskhaltubo II vs Iberia 2010 Tbilisi prediction for the Friendly Clubs match on March 23, 2026, at 07:00 UTC. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Iberia 2010 Tbilisi is the favorite with a 45% win probability.
Samgurali Tskhaltubo II have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches (L, W, D, L, D). They compete in the 4 Liga and have struggled for consistency, scoring 4 goals and conceding 6 in that span. Their most recent result was a 1-2 home defeat to Borjomi on Jun 20.
Iberia 2010 Tbilisi come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses from their last 5 outings (W, L, L, D, W). Playing in the higher-tier 3 Liga, they have shown more attacking threat, netting 10 goals across those games. A 5-1 away cup win at Gardabani on Jun 26 highlights their potential.
These teams have met only once before. In that encounter, Iberia 2010 Tbilisi secured a 2-0 home victory over Samgurali Tskhaltubo II. The home side has never won or drawn in this fixture.
We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Samgurali Tskhaltubo II has a 25% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Iberia 2010 Tbilisi has a 45% chance. The total equals 100%.
This assessment is based on several factors. Iberia 2010 Tbilisi's recent form (7 points from last 5 games) is slightly better than Samgurali's (5 points). The head-to-head record favors Iberia, who won the only previous meeting. Additionally, Iberia competes in a higher league (3 Liga vs 4 Liga), suggesting a stronger overall squad. Home advantage for Samgurali Tskhaltubo II narrows the gap but is not enough to make them favorites.
Bookmakers' odds for this Friendly Clubs match are currently unavailable. Based on the available stats, our prediction leans towards an away win. Iberia 2010 Tbilisi's superior form and higher league status give them the edge. However, the draw is a realistic possibility given Samgurali's two recent stalemates. Our final match prediction: Iberia 2010 Tbilisi to win.