Salernitana U19 - Monopoli U19 prediction 14 February 2026

Salernitana U19 vs Monopoli U19 prediction for the Campionato Primavera 2 U19 clash on February 14, 2026. Monopoli U19 came into the match as the favorite with a 45% win probability, and they delivered a 3-1 away victory. Our pre-match analysis highlighted their superior form and head-to-head record, which proved decisive.

Team Form

Salernitana U19's recent form has been poor. They managed just one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. Their last five results: a 1-0 home win against Avellino U19, a 2-2 home draw with Nuova Cosenza U19, a 3-1 away defeat to Perugia U19, a heavy 4-0 home loss to Empoli U19, and a 3-0 away loss to Benevento U19. Defensively, they conceded 12 goals in those five games.

Monopoli U19's form has been slightly more stable, with one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five. Their run includes a 1-1 home draw with Nuova Cosenza U19, a 3-0 away defeat to Catanzaro U19, a 0-0 home draw with Avellino U19, a 4-1 away win over Pescara U19, and a 1-1 home draw with Palermo U19. While not spectacular, they avoided defeats in four of five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings between these sides, Monopoli U19 hold a clear advantage with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. The most recent encounter before this match was a 2-1 home win for Monopoli U19 in September 2025. They also won 2-0 at home in May 2025. Salernitana U19's only win in the last five came in March 2024, a 3-1 home victory. The December 2023 fixture ended in a 1-1 draw. Monopoli U19 have scored 8 goals in those five matches, while Salernitana U19 managed 5.

League Table Positions

Neither Salernitana U19 nor Monopoli U19 appear in the top 12 of the Campionato Primavera 2 U19 standings. The league is led by Empoli U19 with 74 points, while the 12th-placed team has 46 points. Both teams are positioned lower in the table, indicating they are among the weaker sides this season. No specific points or positions are available for these two teams in the provided data, but their form suggests they are struggling.

Win Probability: Salernitana U19 or Monopoli U19?

Based on the available stats, we estimate the win probabilities as follows:

• Salernitana U19 win: 25%
• Draw: 30%
• Monopoli U19 win: 45%

This calculation takes into account the recent form (Salernitana's 1 win in 5 vs Monopoli's 1 win and 3 draws in 5), the head-to-head record (Monopoli lead 3-1-1), and the home advantage factor. Although Salernitana were at home, their home form has been weak, with only one win in their last three home matches. Monopoli U19's ability to avoid defeat in four of their last five gave them a significant edge. Therefore, Monopoli U19 were the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match were not available in the data source. However, based on our statistical analysis, Monopoli U19 were the clear favorites. The final result — a 3-1 victory for the away side — confirmed this prediction. Salernitana U19's defensive frailties were exposed once again, and Monopoli U19 capitalized on their chances.