Rudes - Lucko prediction 28 January 2026

The Rudes vs Lucko prediction is for the Friendly Clubs match on January 28, 2026 at 13:00 UTC. Based on head-to-head history and recent form, Rudes enter as the clear favorite with a 70% chance to win, while Lucko face an uphill battle. Read on for full betting tips, team form, and the detailed win probability breakdown.

Team Form

Rudes have been inconsistent but dangerous in attack. Their last five results read W, L, W, W, L. In their most recent outing, they beat Olimpija Ljubljana 3-1 away on July 5, 2026, and previously overcame Radnik Sesvete 3-1 and Dugopolje 3-0. However, a 4-3 home loss to Cukaricki Stankom and a 3-2 defeat to Cibalia Vinkovci show defensive vulnerabilities. At home, they won two of the last three, scoring at least twice in all those matches.

Lucko are struggling for form, with a sequence of L, D, D, L, L across their last five. They have not won since May, recording draws against NK Grobnican (2-2) and NK Varteks Varazdin (1-1), while losing to Jadran Luka Ploce (2-3), Kustosija (0-2) and Hrvatski Dragovoljac (0-1). They have managed only two goals in those five outings, pointing to a blunt attack and a backline that has conceded in four of the five.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met three times before, all in Friendly Clubs matches. Rudes have dominated the head-to-head, winning all three encounters with an aggregate score of 10-2. The most recent clash on January 28, 2026 ended 5-1 (not counting the prediction target), earlier a 1-0 win in February 2022, and a 3-1 result in August 2021. Lucko have never drawn or beaten Rudes in any meeting, a perfect 3-0-0 record for the home side today.

Win Probability: Rudes or Lucko?

We have calculated the win probabilities as follows: Rudes win 70%, draw 20%, Lucko win 10%. The reasoning is straightforward: Rudes’ perfect H2H record (3 wins, aggregate 10-2) and their stronger recent form (3 wins in 5) give them a massive edge. Lucko’s dismal run (0 wins in 5, just 2 goals scored) and the fact they have never even drawn against Rudes make an away victory extremely improbable. The 20% chance of a draw reflects Rudes’ occasional defensive lapses, but a home win is the overwhelmingly likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available for this Friendly Clubs match at the time of writing. Nevertheless, based on the stats and the probability model, Rudes are the clear favourites. Bookmakers would likely see Rudes as heavy favourites if odds were posted. Our prediction is a home victory for Rudes, possibly with a margin of two or more goals, given the history of this fixture. Lucko would need a dramatic turnaround to avoid another defeat.