Svoboda Ljubljana - Rudar Trbovlje prediction 4 October 2025
Svoboda Ljubljana
Rudar Trbovlje
Interblock LjubljanaSvoboda LjubljanaSvoboda LjubljanaNK Roltek DobSvoboda LjubljanaSencurFama VipavaSvoboda LjubljanaSvoboda LjubljanaND BistrcNK Skofja LokaSvoboda LjubljanaSvoboda LjubljanaDren VrhnikaNK Roltek DobSvoboda LjubljanaSvoboda LjubljanaRudar TrbovljeSencurSvoboda LjubljanaSvoboda LjubljanaNK ZiriSvoboda LjubljanaIdrijaNK ZiriSvoboda LjubljanaDren VrhnikaSvoboda LjubljanaSvoboda LjubljanaRudar TrbovljeRudar TrbovljeDren VrhnikaNK Roltek DobRudar TrbovljeFama VipavaRudar TrbovljeRudar TrbovljeSencurNK Sobec LesceRudar TrbovljeND BistrcRudar TrbovljeRudar TrbovljeNK ZiriMNK IzolaRudar TrbovljeDren VrhnikaRudar TrbovljeRudar TrbovljeNK Roltek DobSencurRudar TrbovljeSvoboda LjubljanaRudar TrbovljeRudar TrbovljeND BistrcRudar TrbovljeNK Skofja LokaInterblock LjubljanaRudar TrbovljeSvoboda LjubljanaRudar TrbovljeSvoboda LjubljanaRudar Trbovlje| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SD Videm | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 39:16 | +23 | 37 |
| 2 |  NK Brezice 1919 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:19 | +4 | 28 |
| 3 |  Korotan Prevalje | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21:16 | +5 | 26 |
| 4 |  Zavrc | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:20 | +1 | 26 |
| 5 |  NK Podvinci | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 23 |
| 6 |  SD Hajdina | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | -1 | 23 |
| 7 |  Fuzinar | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26:18 | +8 | 21 |
| 8 |  Rogaska | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24:16 | +8 | 21 |
| 9 |  Carda Martjanci | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27:23 | +4 | 21 |
| 10 |  NK Smartno 1928 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22:27 | -5 | 18 |
| 11 |  NK Race | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 |  Ljutomer | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14:31 | -17 | 10 |
| 13 |  NK Drava Ptuj | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 14 |  NK Dobrovce | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11:43 | -32 | 5 |
Rudar Trbovlje vs Svoboda Ljubljana Prediction (Oct 04)
Our Rudar Trbovlje vs Svoboda Ljubljana prediction for October 4, 2025 in Slovenia's 3 SNL league sees the home side as a slight favourite with a 40% win probability. The draw stands at 30%, while Svoboda Ljubljana have a 30% chance of an away victory in this tight contest.
Team Form
Rudar Trbovlje come into this match in poor shape. Their last five results show two draws and three defeats (form string: L, D, L, L, D). In their most recent home outing they lost 1-4 to Dren Vrhnika. Consistency has been a major issue, with no victories in any of those five games.
Svoboda Ljubljana's form is also unconvincing. Their previous five matches returned one win, one draw and three losses (form string: L, L, D, L, W). That solitary win came at home against ND Bistrc (3-0) on March 21, but since then they have struggled to pick up points.
Head-to-Head Record
The two previous meetings between these teams provide mixed signals. Both matches were hosted by Svoboda Ljubljana. The most recent clash ended 2-2 on October 4, 2025, while Rudar Trbovlje claimed a 3-1 away win on April 19, 2025. Overall, Rudar are unbeaten in this fixture with one win and one draw, scoring five goals to Svoboda's three.
League Table Positions
Neither Rudar Trbovlje nor Svoboda Ljubljana feature in the published 3 SNL standings. The table is topped by SD Videm with 37 points from 16 games, suggesting the two teams involved here are likely in the lower half based on their recent form.
Win Probability: Rudar Trbovlje or Svoboda Ljubljana?
Based on the available data—form, head-to-head record and home advantage—we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows: Rudar Trbovlje win 40%, draw 30%, Svoboda Ljubljana win 30%. The home side's edge comes from their strong H2H record (unbeaten) and the benefit of playing on their own ground, but their poor recent results limit confidence. Svoboda's away form and similarly weak run keep them as underdogs in a match that looks tightly balanced.
Odds & Match Prediction
No specific odds were supplied for this fixture. Nevertheless, our analysis points towards a close contest where a draw or a narrow home win are the most likely outcomes. Rudar Trbovlje's inability to win in five attempts contrasts with Svoboda's lone recent victory, so a low-scoring stalemate cannot be ruled out. The prediction is cautious: Rudar Trbovlje may just edge it, but the draw holds solid appeal based on the stats.
Rudar Trbovlje vs Svoboda Ljubljana — FAQ
- Who will win Rudar Trbovlje vs Svoboda Ljubljana?
- Our win probability model gives Rudar Trbovlje a 40% chance, the draw 30%, and Svoboda Ljubljana a 30% chance. It is a very close match with no clear favourite, though the home side has a slight edge due to head-to-head history and playing at home.
- What is the win probability for Rudar Trbovlje?
- Rudar Trbovlje have a 40% probability of winning this match. That estimate is based on their home advantage, an unbeaten head-to-head record against Svoboda Ljubljana (one win, one draw), and the teams' recent poor form which makes any outcome possible.
- When is the Rudar Trbovlje vs Svoboda Ljubljana match?
- The match is scheduled for October 4, 2025, with a kick-off time of 13:00 (UTC). It will be played in the 3 SNL, the third tier of Slovenian football.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The provided data does not include specific bookmaker odds. Based purely on statistical analysis, the match is expected to be very tight, with Rudar Trbovlje narrowly favoured and a draw also rated a realistic possibility.