| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 29:9 | +20 | 34 | |
| 2 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 30:15 | +15 | 28 | |
| 3 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 31:25 | +6 | 26 | |
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 40:29 | +11 | 25 | |
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 30:23 | +7 | 23 | |
| 6 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 27:19 | +8 | 22 | |
| 7 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 25:19 | +6 | 20 | |
| 8 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 | |
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19:25 | -6 | 16 | |
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 26:41 | -15 | 15 | |
| 11 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 25:37 | -12 | 9 | |
| 12 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12:47 | -35 | 8 |
The KPV Kokkola vs RoPS Rovaniemen prediction for this Ykkonen fixture on Jul 20, 2026, points to a clear away favorite. Based on our in-depth analysis, RoPS Rovaniemen holds a 72% win probability, while KPV Kokkola has just a 6% chance, with the draw at 22%. The match kicks off at 15:30 and sees the league's second-placed side visit the bottom club.
KPV Kokkola are in dreadful shape. Their last five matches across all competitions read L, W, L, L, L. The sole victory came away at Jazz (1-0), but at home they have suffered three consecutive defeats: 1-3 vs TPV, 1-3 vs PK Keski-Uusimaa, and 2-3 vs JJK Jyvaskyla. With only 2 wins all season and a goal difference of -35, confidence is rock bottom.
RoPS Rovaniemen come into this match in strong form, with a W, W, D, W, L sequence. Notably, their two away games in that run were both won to nil: 2-0 at Inter Turku II and 2-0 at VJS Vantaa. They have lost only once in the last five, and their attack has scored 8 goals in that period, showing consistency and firepower.
The overall H2H record slightly favors RoPS Rovaniemen: 8 wins to KPV Kokkola's 5, with 5 draws. The most recent meeting, on Apr 25, 2026, ended in a stunning 7-0 home win for RoPS. However, the fixture before that saw KPV triumph 5-0 at home. The last three competitive Ykkonen clashes have produced 14 goals, indicating high-scoring affairs are possible. Yet the 7-0 result underlines the current gulf in quality.
KPV Kokkola sit 12th (last) in the Ykkonen with 8 points from 14 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 10 losses). They have scored only 12 goals while conceding 47. RoPS Rovaniemen are 2nd with 28 points from 14 games (8 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses), boasting a +15 goal difference. Away from home, RoPS rank 3rd in the league, collecting 14 points from 7 trips (4 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). The gap in quality and consistency is massive.
We calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: KPV Kokkola win – 6%, draw – 22%, RoPS Rovaniemen win – 72%. The base came from the average bookmaker odds (home 9.58, draw 3.68, away 1.43), which implied a 65% away win chance after removing the margin. We then adjusted upward for RoPS due to their dominant league position, excellent away form, and KPV's abysmal home record and recent 7-0 H2H defeat. The numbers strongly support an away victory.
Bookmakers see RoPS Rovaniemen as the clear favorite. The best odds available are around 9.00 for a home win, 3.20 for the draw, and as low as 1.44 for an away win. These prices reflect the huge disparity between the teams. Based on the stats, the most likely match outcome is a RoPS Rovaniemen victory. A bet on the away win offers little value at such short odds, but the probability of an upset is minimal. For those looking at alternative markets, the total goals could be high given the recent H2H trend and KPV's defensive frailties.