The Red Bull Bragantino SP Women vs Mirassol FC SP Women prediction for July 16, 2026, points to an away victory in the Campeonato Paulista Women. Bookmakers have Mirassol FC SP Women as the clear favorite with a win probability of around 55%, while a draw stands at 33% and a home win for Red Bull Bragantino SP Women at just 12%. The match kicks off at 23:00 UTC.
Red Bull Bragantino SP Women come into this match with a mixed recent record: W, L, W, W, L in their last five outings. They secured impressive away wins against Sao Jose Women (4-1), Sao Paulo SP Women (1-0), and Santos SP Women (1-0), but suffered a heavy 0-6 home defeat to Corinthians SP Women and a narrow 1-2 loss to Palmeiras SP Women at home. Their ability to grind out results on the road is notable, but home form has been inconsistent.
Mirassol FC SP Women are in poor shape, having lost their last three matches: 0-2 away to Taubate SP Women, 0-4 at home to Ferroviaria SP Women, and 0-5 away to Palmeiras SP Women. They have failed to score in any of these games, conceding 11 goals. This alarming run of form will be a major concern despite their favorite tag in the odds.
There is no previous head-to-head record between Red Bull Bragantino SP Women and Mirassol FC SP Women. This will be the first official meeting between the two sides, so no historical data can be used to inform the prediction.
Based on the available odds, team form, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities:
The raw odds implied a 61% chance for Mirassol, but their three consecutive heavy defeats and Bragantinoโs recent away victories suggest a closer contest. Home advantage for Bragantino also slightly lifts their chances, but the gulf in odds still makes Mirassol the most likely winner. A draw is a significant possibility given both teamsโ inconsistencies.
The latest bookmaker odds for this fixture are: home win 9.80, draw 2.92, away win 1.45. These odds clearly indicate that Mirassol FC SP Women are expected to win. Our prediction, based on the stats, is a narrow away victory for Mirassol, but with a strong note of caution due to their dreadful form. A low-scoring match and a potential draw cannot be ruled out. For betting tips, the draw offers value at 2.92 considering Mirassolโs struggles.