Noroeste SP - Red Bull Bragantino SP prediction 11 January 2026
Noroeste SP
Red Bull Bragantino SPNoroeste SP
Portuguesa RJPortuguesa RJNoroeste SPNoroeste SPSampaio Correa RJXV de Piracicaba SPNoroeste SPNova Iguacu RJNoroeste SPNoroeste SPVelo Clube SPMarica RJNoroeste SPNoroeste SPMarica RJVelo Clube SPNoroeste SPNoroeste SPNova Iguacu RJNoroeste SPXV de Piracicaba SPSampaio Correa RJNoroeste SPPrimavera SPNoroeste SPNoroeste SPSantos SPNoroeste SPVelo Clube SPFluminense RJRed Bull Bragantino SPRed Bull Bragantino SPAtletico Paranaense PRRed Bull Bragantino SPInternacional RSRed Bull Bragantino SPCarabobo FCVasco da Gama RJRed Bull Bragantino SPRiver PlateRed Bull Bragantino SPRed Bull Bragantino SPVitoria BAMirassol SPRed Bull Bragantino SPSantos SPRed Bull Bragantino SPBloomingRed Bull Bragantino SPChapecoense SCRed Bull Bragantino SPRed Bull Bragantino SPRiver PlateRed Bull Bragantino SPPalmeiras SPRed Bull Bragantino SPMirassol SPRed Bull Bragantino SPRemo PANoroeste SPRed Bull Bragantino SPRed Bull Bragantino SPNoroeste SP| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gremio Novorizontino SP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | +6 | 16 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras SP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 16 |
| 3 | Red Bull Bragantino SP | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14:2 | +12 | 16 |
| 4 |  Portuguesa SP | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:7 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Corinthians SP | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Sao Paulo SP | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Capivariano SP | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Santos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | +5 | 12 |
| 9 |  Guarani SP | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Botafogo SP | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 |  Mirassol SP | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:8 | +2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Primavera SP | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 |  Sao Bernardo SP | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Noroeste SP | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 |  Velo Clube SP | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 5 |
| 16 |  Ponte Preta SP | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 1 |
Red Bull Bragantino SP vs Noroeste SP Prediction (Jan 11)
Red Bull Bragantino SP vs Noroeste SP prediction for the Campeonato Paulista clash on Jan 11 at 21:15 UTC. Everything points to a comfortable home win: Red Bull Bragantino SP enters the match as the strong favourite with a 78% chance of victory, based on league positions, recent form and the head-to-head record.
Team Form
Red Bull Bragantino SP is flying high. Their last five matches produced four wins and a draw (W-W-W-D-W), including a 3-1 Serie A win over Internacional RS, a 2-0 Copa Sudamericana victory against Carabobo FC, and a 3-0 away demolition of Vasco da Gama RJ. The only blip was a 1-1 draw away at River Plate, but overall Bragantino have been solid at both ends, scoring 11 goals and conceding only 2 in those five outings.
Noroeste SP's recent form is much less convincing: L-D-W-D-L across their last five fixtures. A 1-3 home loss to Portuguesa RJ and a 0-1 defeat at Nova Iguacu RJ highlight their struggles. The single win was a narrow 1-0 at home against Sampaio Correa RJ. With only one victory in five and just three goals scored, they lack the firepower to trouble a top side like Bragantino.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record is one-sided. In two previous meetings, Red Bull Bragantino SP has won both, with Noroeste SP yet to claim a single point (W2 D0 L0 for Bragantino). The most recent clash on Jan 11, 2026, saw Noroeste SP fall 0-1 at home, and the February 2025 fixture ended 2-1 in Bragantino's favour. This history reinforces the home side's superiority.
League Table Positions
The Campeonato Paulista standings underline the gulf in class. Red Bull Bragantino SP sits 3rd overall with 16 points from 8 games (4 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses), scoring 14 and conceding only 2. At home they are even more dominant: 3 wins, 1 draw, 12 goals for and just 1 against in four matches. Noroeste SP does not appear in the supplied top 12 of the league table – a clear sign that they are far below Bragantino's level this season.
Win Probability: Red Bull Bragantino SP or Noroeste SP?
Red Bull Bragantino SP has a 78% chance of winning, the draw is at 17%, and Noroeste SP holds a mere 5% win probability. These figures are derived from the combination of superior league position (3rd vs outside top 12), exceptional recent form, a 100% head-to-head record, and a near-perfect home defensive record this season. The numbers leave little doubt that Bragantino are overwhelmingly likely to take all three points.
Odds & Match Prediction
No specific bookmaker odds are provided in the data, yet all indicators point to a clear home victory. Red Bull Bragantino SP's form, H2H dominance and rock-solid home defence make them the only sensible pick. A low-scoring encounter is probable given Noroeste's attacking limitations and Bragantino's average of only 0.25 goals conceded at home. Based on the stats, the final prediction is a comfortable win for Red Bull Bragantino SP, with a scoreline of 2-0 or 3-0 likely.
Red Bull Bragantino SP vs Noroeste SP — FAQ
- Who will win Red Bull Bragantino SP vs Noroeste SP?
- Red Bull Bragantino SP is the overwhelming favourite to win, with a calculated 78% probability. The chances of a draw are 17%, and Noroeste SP has only a 5% likelihood of causing an upset.
- What is the win probability for Red Bull Bragantino SP?
- Red Bull Bragantino SP has a 78% win probability. This high percentage reflects their 3rd-place league position, unbeaten home record, current run of four wins in five matches, and a perfect head-to-head record against Noroeste SP.
- When is the Red Bull Bragantino SP vs Noroeste SP match?
- The Campeonato Paulista match between Red Bull Bragantino SP and Noroeste SP is scheduled for Jan 11, 2026, at 21:15 UTC.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The supplied data does not include specific bookmaker odds. Based on the analysis of form, league table and head-to-head record, Red Bull Bragantino SP would be priced as a very short favourite, while an away win for Noroeste SP would carry extremely long odds.