Real Madrid Castilla - FC Andorra prediction 8 August 2025

The Real Madrid Castilla vs FC Andorra prediction for the Friendly Clubs match on Aug 08, 2025, points to a tight contest. FC Andorra enters as the favorite with a 40% win probability, while Real Madrid Castilla sits at 35% and a draw at 25%. This match kicks off at 08:15 UTC, and our analysis below breaks down the key factors behind these chances.

Team Form

Real Madrid Castilla's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they recorded one win, two draws, and two losses. They fell 3-0 to Sabadell, beat Sabadell 2-0, drew 2-2 with CD Guadalajara SAD, drew 3-3 with Arenas Club de Getxo, and lost 4-1 to Cacereno. The team has struggled defensively, conceding 12 goals in that span.

FC Andorra's form is even shakier, with four losses in their last five outings. They lost 1-0 to Burgos CF, lost 0-2 at home to AD Ceuta, lost 2-1 to Deportivo La Coruna, thrashed Las Palmas 5-1, and lost 0-1 to Albacete. Despite the poor run, the 5-1 win shows they can be dangerous on their day.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met only once before, in a previous Friendly Clubs encounter. FC Andorra won that match 3-1, giving them a psychological edge in this fixture. The head-to-head record stands at 0 wins for Real Madrid Castilla, 0 draws, and 1 win for FC Andorra.

Win Probability: Real Madrid Castilla or FC Andorra?

Based on the available data, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Real Madrid Castilla: 35%
• Draw: 25%
• FC Andorra: 40%

FC Andorra gets the slight edge due to their head-to-head victory and the fact that Real Madrid Castilla's home form has been mediocre (one win in the last five home/neutral matches). Both teams have defensive issues, but FC Andorra's attacking performance in the 5-1 win over Las Palmas hints at a higher ceiling. The draw probability is meaningful because both teams have shown they can share the spoils—Real Madrid Castilla drew twice in the last five, and FC Andorra's matches have often been low-scoring affairs except for the outlier win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this Friendly Clubs match are not currently available from bookmakers. Without market odds, we rely on team form, head-to-head record, and the home/away factor.

Match Prediction: FC Andorra to win. The visitors' 3-1 triumph in the only previous meeting and their slightly superior attacking potential tip the scales. However, Real Madrid Castilla's ability to grind out draws (two in the last five) means a stalemate is also a realistic outcome. Betting tips should consider the draw no bet or double chance markets, if offered, once odds become available.