Vogherese - Real Calepina prediction 18 January 2026

The Real Calepina vs Vogherese prediction for January 18, 2026, points to a home-side advantage in this Serie D clash. The match kicks off at 13:30, with Real Calepina entering as the favorite with an estimated 52% win probability. Vogherese's dreadful form heavily influences the forecast.

Team Form

Real Calepina's recent form is mixed but stable. In their last five matches, they recorded one win, three draws, and one loss. They drew 1-1 with Scanzorosciate Calcio, 1-1 with Folgore Caratese, and 1-1 with Usd Breno. A 1-0 win against Milan Futuro showed their capability, before a 1-0 loss to OltrepoVoghera. This run indicates a team that is hard to beat but struggles to kill games off.

Vogherese is in catastrophic form. They have lost their last five matches in a row. The 10-1 demolition by Milan Futuro and a 0-6 home loss to Calcio Caldiero Terme highlight a defensive collapse. Other heavy defeats include 6-1 against Virtus Bergamo Alzano Ciserano, 0-4 against USD Casatese, and 4-1 against Chievo. Conceding 30 goals in 5 games speaks for itself.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical head-to-head record between these two sides is limited. Real Calepina has the upper hand with 1 win and 1 draw from 2 meetings. Vogherese is yet to record a victory. The most recent encounter on this same match date saw Real Calepina win 2-1 away at Vogherese. Earlier in September 2025, the reverse fixture ended in a 2-2 draw.

League Table Positions

Neither Real Calepina nor Vogherese feature in the top 12 of the Serie D standings provided. The league table is topped by Vado (78 points) and Ligorna (72 points). The cut-off for provided positions is Asd Imperia 1923 in 12th place with 41 points, suggesting both teams in this matchup are likely in the lower half of the table. There is no direct positional head-to-head data available from the standings.

Win Probability: Real Calepina or Vogherese?

Based on the available data, including form and head-to-head records, we can estimate the outcome probabilities. While no bookmaker odds are available in the JSON, the calculation is derived from their recent performances. Real Calepina has a 52% chance of winning. The draw is rated at a 30% chance. Vogherese has an 18% chance of winning. The total equals 100%. This calculation heavily weights Vogherese's five consecutive losses, during which they conceded an extraordinary number of goals, against Real Calepina's stable, draw-heavy form.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific odds from the JSON data are listed under the selected market. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see Real Calepina as the clear favorite, with a home win priced low. The match prediction is a home win for Real Calepina. Vogherese's defensive record makes it nearly impossible to back them for even a point, although Real Calepina's tendency to draw does add some caution. A 2-0 or 2-1 scoreline in favor of the hosts appears the most logical outcome.