Rayo Vallecano U19 vs CD Leganes U19 prediction for the Division de Honor U19 match on Feb 14, 2026. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Rayo Vallecano U19 enters this home fixture as the favorite with a 45% win probability. CD Leganes U19 has a 25% chance, while the draw stands at 30%.
Rayo Vallecano U19 comes into this match with strong recent results: three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings. They scored 13 goals in those five matches, including a 3-2 home win over Union Adarve U19 and a 2-0 away victory at Trival Valderas U19. Their only defeat in this stretch was a narrow 2-3 home loss to Getafe CF U19.
CD Leganes U19 has been less consistent, recording one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five. They managed a 4-1 away win at Getafe CF U19 but have drawn three of their last four, including a 0-0 stalemate at Real Madrid U19 and a 2-2 home draw with Real Valladolid U19. Their most recent match ended in a 2-3 away loss to CD Badajoz U19.
These two sides have met five times in recent seasons, with a perfectly balanced record: Rayo Vallecano U19 has 2 wins, CD Leganes U19 has 2 wins, and 1 match ended in a draw. The most recent encounter on Feb 14, 2026, finished 1-1 at this venue. Earlier meetings include a 2-1 home win for Rayo in April 2025 and a 2-1 away win for Rayo in October 2025. CD Leganes U19 won 3-1 at home in December 2024 and 1-0 at home in February 2024.
After analyzing all available data, we assign the following win probabilities: Rayo Vallecano U19 45%, draw 30%, CD Leganes U19 25%. This calculation is based on Rayoโs stronger recent form (three wins in five) and home advantage, balanced against the even head-to-head record. CD Leganes U19โs tendency to draw matches (three in the last five) increases the likelihood of a stalemate. Without bookmaker odds to use as a baseline, these percentages are derived solely from team form and historical results.
Bookmakersโ odds for this fixture are not currently available in our data. Based on the stats, Rayo Vallecano U19 is the more likely winner, but the draw cannot be ruled out given CD Leganes U19โs recent run of draws and the 1-1 result in their last meeting. Our prediction: a closely contested match with Rayo Vallecano U19 having the edge, but a draw is a realistic outcome.