Rayo Vallecano U19 - CD Badajoz U19 prediction 1 February 2026

The Rayo Vallecano U19 vs CD Badajoz U19 prediction for the Division de Honor U19 clash on February 1, 2026, at 16:30 points to a home victory. Rayo Vallecano U19 enters the match as the clear favorite with a 55% win probability, while a draw stands at 25% and CD Badajoz U19 holds a 20% chance. All key stats – from team form to head-to-head history – support this outlook.

Team Form

Rayo Vallecano U19’s last five outings show a mixed trend: D, L, W, W, W. After a blistering run of three straight wins, they stumbled with a home loss to Getafe CF U19 (2-3) and an away draw at Alcobendas CF U19 (3-3). The attack has been productive, netting at least two goals in four of those five matches.

CD Badajoz U19’s recent form reads W, L, W, L, L. The away side managed home wins over CD Leganes U19 (3-2) and La Cruz Villanovense U19 (3-0), but suffered heavy defeats away to Real Madrid U19 (0-5) and at home to Real Valladolid U19 (1-4). Consistency is a real concern for the visitors.

Head-to-Head Record

History strongly favors the hosts. In the 11 previous meetings, Rayo Vallecano U19 has won 8, with 3 draws; CD Badajoz U19 has never beaten Rayo. The most recent encounter on September 27, 2025, ended 3-1 in Rayo’s favor. The last meeting at this venue (September 17, 2022) produced a stunning 8-0 victory for Rayo. The full H2H tally is 8 wins for Rayo, 3 draws, and 0 wins for Badajoz.

Win Probability: Rayo Vallecano U19 or CD Badajoz U19?

Based on all available data – head-to-head dominance, home advantage, and recent form – we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Rayo Vallecano U19 win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• CD Badajoz U19 win: 20%

Rayo’s unbeaten H2H record (W8 D3) is the biggest factor. Even though their last two results were below par, they have consistently found a way past Badajoz. The visitors’ recent losses against top sides and their historical inability to beat Rayo tip the scales firmly toward the home side. The 20% away win probability reflects the occasional upset potential, but a draw is the more realistic alternative outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific bookmaker odds were available in the provided data. Nevertheless, match outcome chances are clearly driven by the stats. Rayo Vallecano U19 is the most likely winner: they have the superior head-to-head record, home turf, and enough recent firepower to edge this contest. We predict a home win, but a low-scoring contest cannot be ruled out given both teams’ defensive lapses in recent weeks. The final recommendation: back Rayo to claim all three points.