Ranheim - Kongsvinger prediction 8 May 2026

The Ranheim vs Kongsvinger prediction for May 08 answers who will win this Norwegian 1 Division match at 17:00. Based on the latest team form and league table positions, Kongsvinger have a 40% probability to win, while Ranheim have a 35% chance, and the draw is predicted at 25%.

Team Form

Ranheim's recent form has been inconsistent with results of L, L, W, L, D from their last five matches. They suffered a heavy 2-5 home defeat to Stabaek and a 0-3 loss at Asane, though they did manage a 3-2 win over Lyn. Their home form overall shows 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in 8 games, with 25 goals scored and 14 conceded.

Kongsvinger approach this fixture with stronger momentum, posting W, L, D, W, W in their last five outings. A convincing 5-1 home win over Sogndal and a 3-1 victory against Asane highlight their attacking threat. They remain unbeaten at home this season with 6 wins and 1 draw, and on the road they have collected 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses.

Head-to-Head Record

In their last 13 meetings, Ranheim have won 3, Kongsvinger have won 6, and 4 have ended in draws. Their most recent encounter on this same date ended in a 1-1 draw. The previous three matches have all been close affairs, with the home side failing to win in two of them. Kongsvinger's historical edge is evident with a 2-1 away win in 2024 and a 4-1 victory at this venue in 2023.

League Table Positions

Kongsvinger sit top of the 1 Division overall standings with 30 points from 14 matches, having scored 36 goals and conceded 21. Ranheim are positioned 8th with 20 points and a goal difference of 34:34. The gap between the sides is 10 points, underlining the visitors' superior consistency. Kongsvinger's away record ranks 3rd in the division, while Ranheim's home record is a solid 3rd best, setting up a compelling contest between a strong home attack and a resilient away defense.

Win Probability: Ranheim or Kongsvinger?

We have calculated the win probability based on league positions, recent form, head-to-head history, and home advantage. The outcome chances are as follows:

• Ranheim win: 35%
• Draw: 25%
• Kongsvinger win: 40%

Kongsvinger's lead at the top of the table and better recent results make them the marginal favorite. However, Ranheim's strong home attacking record and the frequency of draws in recent head-to-head meetings keep the home side's chances competitive. The data suggests Kongsvinger are the more likely winner, but a draw is a very realistic outcome given the history between these two.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are centered on the 1X2 market, reflecting Kongsvinger's status as the league leader. While exact odds from the bookmakers are not specified in the provided data, the probabilities align with the inverse odds view: Kongsvinger are seen as the favorite based on their stats. Our final Ranheim vs Kongsvinger betting tip points towards a Kongsvinger victory or a draw, considering the away side's form advantage and the historical difficulty Ranheim have had in beating them.