FK Prva Iskra Baric - Radnicki Novi Beograd prediction 19 October 2025

Radnicki Novi Beograd vs FK Prva Iskra Baric prediction for the Srpska Liga match on October 19, 2025, at 09:00 UTC. Based on recent form and league standings, FK Prva Iskra Baric enters as the favorite with a 40% win probability, while Radnicki Novi Beograd has a 30% chance and the draw sits at 30%.

Team Form

Radnicki Novi Beograd are struggling badly, with four losses in their last five matches (L, L, L, L, W). Their most recent results include a 1-3 home defeat to Jedinstvo Surcin, a 1-6 thrashing at FK Torlak, and a 1-2 home loss to T6 Nika Lepusnica. The only bright spot was a 4-3 away win at Brodarac on April 24, 2026. Defensive frailties are evident, conceding 15 goals in those five games.

FK Prva Iskra Baric come into this match in solid form (W, W, W, D, L). They have won three of their last five, including a 3-2 away victory at BASK Belgrade, a 3-1 home win over Brodarac, and a 3-0 away win at Zvezdara. A 2-2 home draw with Buducnost Dobanovci and a 0-3 home loss to Padinska Skela round out the sequence. The away side has scored 11 goals in this period, showing attacking confidence.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, Radnicki Novi Beograd dominate this fixture with 10 wins, 1 draw, and only 2 wins for FK Prva Iskra Baric. However, all recorded meetings date back to 2018–2022, with the most recent clash ending in a 1-1 draw on June 4, 2022. While the overall H2H favors the home side, the gap in current form suggests those past results carry less weight.

League Table Positions

FK Prva Iskra Baric sit 10th in the Srpska Liga standings with 30 points from 25 matches (8 wins, 6 draws, 11 losses). In away games, they rank 8th with 14 points from 12 outings (4 wins, 2 draws, 6 defeats). Radnicki Novi Beograd are not among the top 12 teams shown in the table, indicating they are lower in the division and likely battling near the bottom. This reinforces the away side's status as the stronger team on paper.

Win Probability: Radnicki Novi Beograd or FK Prva Iskra Baric?

After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities are: Radnicki Novi Beograd 30%, Draw 30%, FK Prva Iskra Baric 40%. The calculation weighs recent form heavily (40%), with FK Prva Iskra Baric’s three wins in five far superior to Radnicki’s one win. League position (20%) also favors the visitors, while the outdated H2H record (20%) gives Radnicki a slight historical edge. Home advantage (20%) is diminished by Radnicki’s poor home results. Overall, FK Prva Iskra Baric is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have not yet released odds for this match. Based on the stats, FK Prva Iskra Baric is seen as the favorite. A draw is a realistic outcome given both teams’ defensive inconsistencies, but the away side’s attacking form tips the balance. Our prediction: FK Prva Iskra Baric to win, with a 40% probability.