Racing Club Avellaneda Reserves - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Reserves prediction 23 July 2026

The Racing Club Avellaneda Reserves vs Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Reserves prediction for July 23, 2026, points to a home victory in this Liga Profesional Reserves clash. Based on form, head-to-head record, and bookmaker odds, Racing Club Avellaneda Reserves has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Reserves has a 20% chance.

Team Form

Racing Club Avellaneda Reserves come into this match with a solid recent record, having won three, drawn one, and lost one of their last five outings (W, D, W, W, L). In their most recent fixture on Jul 10, they secured a 2-1 home win against River Plate Reserves. Prior to that, they played out a 0-0 draw away at Velez Sarsfield Reserves on Jul 05, and earned back-to-back away wins against Independiente Reserve (3-2) and CA Talleres de Cordoba Reserves (3-2) in late June. Their only recent defeat was a 1-2 home loss to Banfield Reserves on Jun 08.

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Reserves have had a more inconsistent run, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches (L, W, L, D, W). Their latest game on Jul 13 ended in a 0-1 home defeat to CA Sarmiento de Junin Reserves. Before that, they beat Argentinos Juniors Reserves 2-1 at home on Jun 17, lost 0-1 away to CA Aldosivi Reserve on Jun 09, drew 0-0 at home with Gimnasia La Plata Reserves on Jun 03, and won 2-0 away at Union Santa Fe Reserves on May 28.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is extremely limited, with just one previous meeting. That match, played on Feb 10, 2026, in the Liga Profesional Reserves, ended in a 1-1 draw. Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Reserves were the home side on that occasion. With 0 wins for the home side, 1 draw, and 0 away wins in the H2H history, there is little to separate the teams historically.

League Table Positions

In the overall Liga Profesional Reserves standings, Racing Club Avellaneda Reserves sit 9th with 30 points from 18 matches (8 wins, 6 draws, 4 losses), having scored 27 goals and conceded 23. Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Reserves are not listed in the top 12 of the provided table, indicating a lower position. Racing Club's away form shows them 8th in the away table with 14 points from 9 games, while their home form is not explicitly ranked in the provided top 8, suggesting room for improvement at home. The gap in overall points and goal difference highlights Racing Club as the stronger side on paper.

Win Probability: Racing Club Avellaneda Reserves or Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Reserves?

After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities for this match are: Racing Club Avellaneda Reserves win — 55%, Draw — 25%, Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Reserves win — 20%. This calculation is based on the inverse of the best available bookmaker odds (home: 1.68, draw: 2.15, away: 4.40), normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted for Racing Club's superior recent form (3 wins in 5 vs 2 wins in 5) and their higher league standing. The home advantage for Racing Club further solidifies their status as the clear favorite, though the single H2H draw introduces a note of caution.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Racing Club Avellaneda Reserves as the strong favorite. The best available odds from the provided data show a home win at 1.68, a draw at 2.15, and an away win for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Reserves at 4.40. Other bookmakers offer similar markets, with home odds ranging from 1.68 to 1.76, draw odds from 2.15 to 3.78, and away odds from 4.40 to 5.00. Based on the stats, a home win is the most likely outcome, but the draw odds are relatively short, reflecting the possibility of a tight contest. Our prediction: Racing Club Avellaneda Reserves to win.