Quintero Unido - Aguara prediction 5 July 2026

The Quintero Unido vs Aguara prediction points to a tight Tercera Division fixture on July 5, 2026, at 16:00. Quintero Unido enter as the favorites with a 52% win probability, backed by strong recent form and home advantage. Aguara's chances are slimmer at 20%, with a draw rated at 28%.

Team Form

Quintero Unido come into this match in solid form. Their last five results read: D, W, W, D, W. They've scored nine goals in that run, including a 4-2 away win at CDS Constitucion Unido and a 4-1 home victory over Puente Alto. The only dropped points were a 1-1 draw with CD Rancagua Sur and the recent 1-1 stalemate against Aguara.

Aguara have struggled for wins. Their last five matches: D, D, D, L, L. Three consecutive draws were followed by back-to-back defeats, scoring just one goal total in those losses. Their latest result was a 1-1 draw at Rodelindo Roman.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met three times in the Tercera Division. Quintero Unido lead with one win, there has been one draw, and Aguara have one victory. Their most recent encounter ended 1-1 on July 5, 2026. Prior to that, Aguara won 2-1 at home in August 2025, while Quintero Unido claimed a 2-0 home win in April 2025.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in Chile's Tercera Division. While exact table positions are not available, Quintero Unido's form (W-W-D-W-D) suggests they are likely in the upper half, while Aguara's winless streak of five games (D-D-D-L-L) points to a lower-table position. The gap in momentum is significant and directly impacts this match prediction.

Win Probability: Quintero Unido or Aguara?

Based on the available data, Quintero Unido have a 52% chance to win this match. The draw is assessed at 28%, and an Aguara away victory stands at 20%. These probabilities are derived from the team form (Quintero's three wins in five vs. Aguara's zero wins in five), the head-to-head balance (one win each and a recent draw), and Quintero's home advantage where they have won two of their last three. Aguara's lack of goals and recent defeats heavily reduce their win chances.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for the 1X2 market are not listed in the data, but the form book and H2H record make Quintero Unido the clear favorite. Aguara have lost their last two away matches and failed to score in both. Our final match prediction is a home win for Quintero Unido, with a 1-1 draw being the next most likely result given the teams' recent head-to-head stalemate.