Mazatlan FC - Queretaro prediction 18 April 2026

The Queretaro vs Mazatlan FC prediction for this Liga MX match on Apr 18, 2026, points to a home advantage. Queretaro enters the game as the favorite with a 50% chance of winning, while Mazatlan FC has a 20% probability and the draw stands at 30%. The match kicks off at 01:00 at Queretaro's home ground.

Team Form

Queretaro comes into this fixture in strong shape. Their last five results show three wins and two draws (W, W, D, D, W), indicating a solid unbeaten run. In their most recent home match, they beat Necaxa 3-1 on Apr 11. The team has been consistent, avoiding defeat in all of those outings.

Mazatlan FC, on the other hand, has struggled recently. Their last five matches produced just one win, one draw, and three losses (L, W, D, L, L). Away from home, they suffered a 3-1 defeat at Pumas UNAM on Apr 12 and a 2-1 loss at Necaxa on Apr 4. That poor away form is a concern ahead of this trip.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record between these sides is extremely balanced: 3 wins for Queretaro, 3 for Mazatlan FC, and 6 draws in 12 meetings. However, Queretaro has dominated recent home encounters. In their last two home matches against Mazatlan FC, they won 1-0 on both occasions (Nov 2025 and Mar 2025). The most recent meeting before this match was that 1-0 home victory for Queretaro on Nov 2, 2025. The history suggests a tight contest, but Queretaro's home edge is clear.

Win Probability: Queretaro or Mazatlan FC?

Based on the available data, the win probabilities are as follows:

• Queretaro win: 50%
• Draw: 30%
• Mazatlan FC win: 20%

Queretaro's strong recent form (unbeaten in five) and home advantage are the main drivers. Mazatlan FC's poor away results and overall inconsistency lower their chances. The head-to-head record, while even overall, tilts in Queretaro's favor when playing at home. Therefore, Queretaro is the more likely winner, but a draw cannot be ruled out given the history of stalemates between these teams.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match are not currently available. Nevertheless, based on the stats, Queretaro is the expected favorite. The team's solid defensive record at home and Mazatlan FC's struggles on the road suggest a low-scoring affair. Our Queretaro vs Mazatlan FC prediction is a home win, but with a cautious eye on the draw. For betting tips, backing Queretaro to win or the double chance (Queretaro or draw) could offer value once odds are released.