Navbahor Namangan - Qizilqum Zarafshon prediction 23 July 2026
Navbahor Namangan
Qizilqum ZarafshonNavbahor Namangan
AGMK OlmaliqNavbahor NamanganSementchi KuvasoyBarkamol AvlodNavbahor NamanganNavbahor NamanganFarDu FerganaXorazm FK UrganchNavbahor NamanganNavbahor NamanganLokomotiv Farm TashkentNavbahor NamanganQoraqalpogiston FANasaf QarshiNavbahor NamanganBunyodkorNavbahor NamanganDo StlikNavbahor NamanganNavbahor NamanganSogdianaNavbahor NamanganAndijanLokomotiv Farm TashkentNavbahor NamanganHavokandNavbahor NamanganNavbahor NamanganSurkhon TermezQizilqum ZarafshonDinamo SamarqandUzbekistan U20Qizilqum ZarafshonPFC TerduQizilqum ZarafshonLokomotiv Farm TashkentQizilqum ZarafshonQizilqum ZarafshonXorazm FK UrganchQizilqum ZarafshonFK Kokand 1912Surkhon TermezQizilqum ZarafshonQizilqum ZarafshonSogdianaFK BuxoroQizilqum ZarafshonQizilqum ZarafshonNeftchiQizilqum ZarafshonAGMK OlmaliqMashal MuborakQizilqum ZarafshonQizilqum ZarafshonAndijanPakhtakorQizilqum ZarafshonFakel VoronezhQizilqum Zarafshon| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.36 | 4.85 | 13.50 | |
| 1.35 | 2.38 | 8.00 | |
| 1.33 | 2.25 | 8.50 | |
| 1.33 | 2.25 | 8.50 | |
| 1.32 | 2.25 | 7.75 | |
| 1.31 | 2.28 | 8.50 |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 32:5 | +27 | 34 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25:14 | +11 | 30 |
| 3 |  FK Buxoro | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 23 |
| 4 |  AGMK Olmaliq | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | +4 | 22 |
| 5 | Navbahor Namangan | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:11 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |  Lokomotiv | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 |  Bunyodkor | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 |  Nasaf Qarshi | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Andijan | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 17 |
| 10 |  Surkhon Termez | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 15 |
| 11 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Xorazm FK Urganch | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 13 |
| 13 | Qizilqum Zarafshon | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 |  Sogdiana | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 22:30 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 |  FK Kokand 1912 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 11 |
| 16 |  Mashal Muborak | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6:22 | -16 | 4 |
Navbahor Namangan vs Qizilqum Zarafshon Prediction (Jul 23)
The Navbahor Namangan vs Qizilqum Zarafshon prediction for the Super League match on Jul 23 at 15:00 points to a strong home favorite. Based on our win probability analysis, Navbahor Namangan has a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Qizilqum Zarafshon has a 15% chance.
Team Form
Navbahor Namangan's recent form has been inconsistent, with results of L, D, D, W, D across their last five matches. Their most recent Super League outing ended in a 2-3 home loss to AGMK Olmaliq on Jul 17. Qizilqum Zarafshon's form is similarly mixed at L, D, W, L, D. They are coming off a 1-2 home defeat against Dinamo Samarqand in the Super League on Jul 18.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Navbahor Namangan. In 26 previous meetings, Navbahor Namangan has 16 wins, Qizilqum Zarafshon has 8 wins, and there have been 2 draws. The most recent clash on Sep 27, 2025, saw Navbahor Namangan win 1-0 at home. Navbahor Namangan has won three of the last five encounters.
League Table Positions
Navbahor Namangan sits 4th in the Super League table with 20 points from 12 matches (6 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses). Qizilqum Zarafshon is not in the top 12 of the overall standings. Navbahor Namangan's away form is particularly strong, ranked 3rd in the league with 13 points from 7 away games.
Win Probability: Navbahor Namangan or Qizilqum Zarafshon?
Navbahor Namangan has a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Qizilqum Zarafshon has a 15% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 1.44, draw 2.15, away 6.30) normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted for Navbahor Namangan's dominant head-to-head record (16 wins in 26 matches) and superior league position (4th vs unranked). Navbahor Namangan is clearly the more likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
The best available odds are 1.44 for a Navbahor Namangan win, 2.15 for the draw, and 6.30 for a Qizilqum Zarafshon win. Bookmakers see Navbahor Namangan as the clear favorite. Based on the stats, a home win is the most probable match outcome.
Navbahor Namangan vs Qizilqum Zarafshon — FAQ
- Who will win Navbahor Namangan vs Qizilqum Zarafshon?
- Navbahor Namangan is the strong favorite to win. Our analysis gives Navbahor Namangan a 60% chance, the draw 25%, and Qizilqum Zarafshon just 15%.
- What is the win probability for Navbahor Namangan?
- Navbahor Namangan has a 60% win probability. This is based on their dominant head-to-head record (16 wins in 26 matches), higher league position (4th), and the bookmaker odds of 1.44 for a home win.
- When is the Navbahor Namangan vs Qizilqum Zarafshon match?
- The match is on Jul 23 at 15:00. It is a Super League fixture in Uzbekistan.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds are 1.44 for a Navbahor Namangan win, 2.15 for a draw, and 6.30 for a Qizilqum Zarafshon win.