Mashal Muborak - Qizilqum Zarafshon prediction 10 March 2026
Mashal Muborak
Qizilqum ZarafshonMashal Muborak
Nasaf QarshiMashal MuborakFK Kokand 1912GazalkentMashal MuborakRespublika FAMashal MuborakMashal MuborakSogdianaOlimpik MobiuzMashal MuborakDinamo SamarqandMashal MuborakMashal MuborakFK BuxoroSurkhon TermezMashal MuborakMashal MuborakXorazm FK UrganchPakhtakorMashal MuborakMashal MuborakBunyodkorNavbahor NamanganMashal MuborakAndijanMashal MuborakMashal MuborakQizilqum ZarafshonNavbahor NamanganQizilqum ZarafshonQizilqum ZarafshonDinamo SamarqandUzbekistan U20Qizilqum ZarafshonPFC TerduQizilqum ZarafshonLokomotiv Farm TashkentQizilqum ZarafshonQizilqum ZarafshonXorazm FK UrganchQizilqum ZarafshonFK Kokand 1912Surkhon TermezQizilqum ZarafshonQizilqum ZarafshonSogdianaFK BuxoroQizilqum ZarafshonQizilqum ZarafshonNeftchiQizilqum ZarafshonAGMK OlmaliqMashal MuborakQizilqum ZarafshonQizilqum ZarafshonAndijanPakhtakorQizilqum ZarafshonMashal MuborakQizilqum ZarafshonQizilqum ZarafshonMashal MuborakMashal MuborakQizilqum ZarafshonMashal MuborakQizilqum ZarafshonQizilqum ZarafshonMashal MuborakQizilqum ZarafshonMashal MuborakMashal MuborakQizilqum ZarafshonMashal MuborakQizilqum ZarafshonMashal MuborakQizilqum ZarafshonMashal MuborakQizilqum ZarafshonMashal MuborakQizilqum ZarafshonQizilqum ZarafshonMashal Muborak| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 32:5 | +27 | 34 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25:14 | +11 | 30 |
| 3 |  FK Buxoro | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 23 |
| 4 |  AGMK Olmaliq | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | +4 | 22 |
| 5 |  Navbahor Namangan | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:11 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |  Lokomotiv | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 |  Bunyodkor | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 |  Nasaf Qarshi | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Andijan | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 17 |
| 10 |  Surkhon Termez | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 15 |
| 11 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Xorazm FK Urganch | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 13 |
| 13 | Qizilqum Zarafshon | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 |  Sogdiana | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 22:30 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 |  FK Kokand 1912 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 11 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6:22 | -16 | 4 |
Qizilqum Zarafshon vs Mashal Muborak Prediction (Mar 10)
Our Qizilqum Zarafshon vs Mashal Muborak prediction looks ahead to the Uzbekistan Super League fixture on March 10, 2026, at 14:45. Based on head-to-head data, team form, and home advantage, we give Qizilqum Zarafshon a 55% win probability, making them the clear favorites.
Team Form
Qizilqum Zarafshon’s last five matches show a mixed run — two wins, two draws, and one loss (D, W, L, D, W). They drew 2-2 away with Uzbekistan U20 in a friendly, beat PFC Terdu 4-1 away in the Cup, but lost 1-0 at Lokomotiv Farm Tashkent in the league. At home, they held Xorazm FK Urganch to a 0-0 draw and beat FK Kokand 1912 2-1. Their recent home form is solid, unbeaten in the last two at their own ground, scoring twice and conceding just once.
Mashal Muborak arrive in poor shape, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five (D, W, L, L, L). A 2-2 friendly draw at Gazalkent and a 2-0 Cup win at Respublika FA were followed by three straight defeats — 1-2 at home to Sogdiana, 1-3 at Olimpik Mobiuz, and 1-3 at Dinamo Samarqand. Away from home they have conceded seven times in three competitive matches, a clear defensive weakness.
Head-to-Head Record
The overall head-to-head record strongly favours Qizilqum Zarafshon — 7 wins, 2 draws, and only 3 wins for Mashal Muborak across 12 past meetings. Looking at the last four completed encounters before this match, Qizilqum Zarafshon won two (1-0 at home in 2025, 2-0 at home in 2021), drew one (2-2 away in 2025), and lost one (1-2 away in 2021). That gives Qizilqum a clear psychological edge.
League Table Positions
Qizilqum Zarafshon currently sit 11th in the Super League with 13 points from 10 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses). They have scored 8 times and conceded 14. Mashal Muborak’s league standing is not available in the provided data, but Qizilqum’s mid‑table position and superior historical record give them a notable advantage coming into this fixture.
Win Probability: Qizilqum Zarafshon or Mashal Muborak?
After weighing all available stats, we calculate the win probability for this match as follows:
- Qizilqum Zarafshon win: 55%
- Draw: 25%
- Mashal Muborak win: 20%
These figures are based on Qizilqum’s dominant head-to-head record (7 wins in 12 games), their home advantage, a more stable recent form (eight points from five games), and Mashal Muborak’s woeful away run. Even without bookmaker odds, the numbers clearly point to a home victory.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers’ odds for this fixture are not available at the time of writing. However, based on the stats, Qizilqum Zarafshon are the expected favourites. Given their decent home defensive record and Mashal’s struggles to keep clean sheets away, a 2-0 or 2-1 win for the home side looks the most likely outcome. Our final match prediction is a Qizilqum Zarafshon victory.
Qizilqum Zarafshon vs Mashal Muborak — FAQ
- Who will win Qizilqum Zarafshon vs Mashal Muborak?
- Based on our analysis, Qizilqum Zarafshon has a 55% chance of winning, a draw is at 25%, and Mashal Muborak has a 20% chance. Qizilqum is the more likely winner due to their strong head-to-head record and home advantage.
- What is the win probability for Qizilqum Zarafshon?
- Qizilqum Zarafshon has a 55% probability to win the match. This is based on their 7 wins in 12 head-to-head meetings, recent home form (two unbeaten matches), and Mashal Muborak’s poor away results.
- When is the Qizilqum Zarafshon vs Mashal Muborak match?
- The match is on March 10, 2026, at 14:45 local time. It is part of the Uzbekistan Super League.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmaker odds for this fixture are not currently available. Once released, Qizilqum Zarafshon are expected to be the favourites.
- What is the head-to-head record between Qizilqum Zarafshon and Mashal Muborak?
- In 12 previous meetings, Qizilqum Zarafshon won 7, Mashal Muborak won 3, and 2 matches ended in draws. In the last four completed encounters before this match, Qizilqum won twice, drew once, and lost once.