Chongqing Tonglianglong - Qingdao West Coast prediction 21 July 2026

The Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Qingdao West Coast prediction for the China FA Cup match on July 21, 2026, at 11:35 points to a tight contest where the draw is the most probable outcome. Based on odds and recent form, Chongqing Tonglianglong has a 30% win probability, the draw stands at 43%, and Qingdao West Coast has a 27% chance.

Team Form

Chongqing Tonglianglong come into this match with a mixed run of results: two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings. They drew 1-1 at home to Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown on July 18, and before that shared the points in a 1-1 draw at Chengdu Rongcheng. A 3-1 defeat at Liaoning Shenyang Urban Tieren was followed by a 1-0 home win over Tianjin Jinmen Tiger and a 2-0 FA Cup victory at Ningbo Professional FC Huilong.

Qingdao West Coast also show two wins, two draws, and one loss from their last five matches. They drew 1-1 at home to Chengdu Rongcheng on July 17, lost 3-0 at Shenzhen Peng City, then beat Shanghai SIPG East Asia 2-1 and Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown 3-1 at home. Their most recent away game was a 1-1 draw at Xian Chongde Ronghai in the FA Cup.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met only once before, a Chinese Super League clash on April 26, 2026, which ended in a 1-1 draw. That result offers no clear historical advantage for either team.

Win Probability: Chongqing Tonglianglong or Qingdao West Coast?

After analyzing the odds, form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the following outcome probabilities: Chongqing Tonglianglong win – 30%, draw – 43%, Qingdao West Coast win – 27%. The draw is the clear favorite, reflecting the bookmakers' low odds on that result and the evenly matched recent performances of both teams. Home advantage gives Chongqing Tonglianglong a slight edge over the away side, but the most likely scenario is a stalemate.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds: home win at 2.90, draw at 2.05, and away win at 3.20. These prices underline the draw as the expected outcome. Based on the stats, our Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Qingdao West Coast prediction is a draw.