Qingdao Hainiu - Chongqing Tonglianglong prediction 24 May 2026

The Qingdao Hainiu vs Chongqing Tonglianglong prediction for May 24, 2026, points to a closely contested China Super League fixture at the Qingdao Youth Football Stadium. Based on our analysis, Qingdao Hainiu has a 40% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 25% and Chongqing Tonglianglong at 35%.

Team Form

Qingdao Hainiu

Qingdao Hainiu's recent form has been mixed. In their last four matches before this clash, they recorded one win, two draws, and one loss. They drew 1-1 with Chengdu Rongcheng, beat Yunnan Yukun 4-2, drew 2-2 with Wuxi Wugou in the FA Cup, and lost 3-2 to Shenzhen Peng City. The team has shown attacking potential, scoring 9 goals in those four games, but defensive lapses have cost them points. Overall in the league, they have scored 27 goals in 17 matches, with 17 of those coming at home.

Chongqing Tonglianglong

Chongqing Tonglianglong's form has been more unpredictable. They lost 3-1 to Liaoning Shenyang Urban Tieren, then secured back-to-back wins: 1-0 against Tianjin Jinmen Tiger and 2-0 against Ningbo Professional FC in the FA Cup, before falling 3-2 to Beijing Guoan. That's two wins and two losses in their last four, with a tendency to both score and concede. In the league, they have netted 22 goals in 18 games, but only 9 on the road, indicating a more cautious approach away from home.

Head-to-Head Record

This is the first competitive meeting between Qingdao Hainiu and Chongqing Tonglianglong. There is no prior head-to-head data to influence the prediction.

League Table Positions

In the China Super League standings, Chongqing Tonglianglong sits 4th with 28 points from 18 matches (7 wins, 7 draws, 4 losses). Qingdao Hainiu is 11th with 21 points from 17 matches (6 wins, 3 draws, 8 losses). However, home and away splits tell a different story. Qingdao Hainiu boasts a strong home record, ranking 5th in the home table with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses from 9 games. Chongqing Tonglianglong is 2nd in the away table, with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses from 9 road trips. The home advantage could level the playing field.

Win Probability: Qingdao Hainiu or Chongqing Tonglianglong?

After evaluating all available data, we assign the following win probabilities: Qingdao Hainiu 40%, draw 25%, Chongqing Tonglianglong 35%. The home side's solid form at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium (1.89 points per game) gives them a slight edge, but Chongqing's higher league position and decent away performances (1.33 points per game) make them dangerous. The lack of head-to-head history adds uncertainty. Overall, Qingdao Hainiu is the marginal favorite, but a draw is a realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match are not currently available. Based on the stats, our prediction leans towards a low-scoring affair. Qingdao Hainiu's home strength suggests they are the more likely winner, but Chongqing Tonglianglong's ability to grind out results on the road cannot be ignored. A 1-1 draw is a plausible result, but if a winner emerges, it is likely to be Qingdao Hainiu by a narrow margin.