Purepechas - Charales de Chapala prediction 22 April 2026

Purepechas vs Charales de Chapala prediction for the Liga TDP match on April 22, 2026, at 22:00. Based on recent form and available data, Charales de Chapala is the favorite with a 50% win probability, while Purepechas has a 25% chance and the draw stands at 25%.

Team Form

Purepechas enter this match in poor shape. Excluding the upcoming fixture, they have lost their last three matches: a 0-1 defeat to Halcones de Zapopan 2 on March 29, a 1-4 loss to Atletico Morelia Universidad Michoacana on March 21, and a 0-1 reverse against Real Zamora on March 7. Their only victory in the last four outings was a convincing 4-0 home win over Atletico Valladolid on February 7.

Charales de Chapala show slightly more mixed form. In their last four matches before this one, they recorded a 2-1 win at Halcones de Zapopan (Oct 28, 2022, in Liga de Expansion MX), a 2-5 loss at Estudiantes Tecos 2 (Feb 6, 2026), a 0-0 draw at Tepatitlan de Morelos II (Mar 28, 2026), and a 0-2 defeat at Tapatios (Apr 18, 2026). That gives them one win, one draw, and two losses in that span.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous head-to-head meetings between Purepechas and Charales de Chapala. This will be the first competitive clash between the two sides.

Win Probability: Purepechas or Charales de Chapala?

After analyzing the available data, we assign the following win probabilities: Purepechas 25%, draw 25%, Charales de Chapala 50%. The away side gets the edge thanks to a slightly better recent record and the hosts' clear struggles. Purepechas have lost three in a row and managed just one win in four, while Charales de Chapala have at least picked up a win and a draw in their last four. Home advantage is not enough to offset the form gap, making Charales de Chapala the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are not currently available in our data. Based purely on the stats, the prediction is a Charales de Chapala victory. The visitors' ability to grind out results on the road and Purepechas' defensive frailties point to an away win. A 2-1 or 2-0 scoreline in favour of Charales de Chapala looks the most probable outcome.