Pumas FC - San Marcos FC prediction 12 April 2026

Pumas FC vs San Marcos FC prediction for the Liga de Ascenso match on April 12, 2026 (20:00). Based on recent form and head-to-head record, San Marcos FC enters as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Pumas FC has a 30% chance and the draw stands at 25%.

Team Form

Pumas FC's last five matches show mixed results: a draw against CD Estrella Roja (1-1), a loss to San Marcos FC (0-2), a win over FC Leones HT6 (3-1), a draw with Arsenal Roatan (1-1), and a win against FC Leones HT6 (1-0). That form line reads D, L, W, D, W — inconsistent and lacking a clean sheet in four of those five outings.

San Marcos FC, on the other hand, is in perfect form with five consecutive wins: 1-0 over Matiguas FC, 2-0 against Tigres de Chinandega, 2-0 versus Pumas FC, 4-1 against Deportivo Catarina, and a 2-1 away win at CD Junior de Managua. They have scored 11 goals and conceded only 2 in this stretch, showing both offensive firepower and defensive solidity.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between these sides ended in a 2-0 victory for San Marcos FC. That match, played earlier this season, gives San Marcos a clear psychological edge and a 1-0 lead in the head-to-head series.

Win Probability: Pumas FC or San Marcos FC?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: San Marcos FC 45%, Draw 25%, Pumas FC 30%. This assessment is based on San Marcos's five-match winning streak, their dominant head-to-head win, and Pumas FC's inconsistent form. While Pumas FC enjoys home advantage, it is not enough to offset the visitors' momentum. San Marcos FC is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are currently unavailable. However, based on the available stats — team form, head-to-head record, and the home/away factor — San Marcos FC is the predicted winner. Our betting tip would be a San Marcos FC victory, given their superior recent performances.