Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves - Puerto Nuevo Reserves prediction 23 July 2026

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves vs Puerto Nuevo Reserves prediction for the Primera C Metropolitana Reserve match on Jul 23, 2026. Based on the stats, Puerto Nuevo Reserves is the favorite with a 37% win probability, while Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves has a 28% chance, and the draw is at 35%.

Team Form

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves come into this match with inconsistent results: two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. They drew 0-0 at home against Sportivo Barracas Reserves, lost 1-2 to CA Atlas Reserves, won 4-0 away at CSCyD Muniz Reserves, beat Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves 4-1 at home, and fell 1-2 away to Deportivo Espanol Reserves.

Puerto Nuevo Reserves, on the other hand, have been in strong form with three wins, one draw, and one loss. They won 1-0 away at Justo Jose Urquiza Reserves, beat Argentino de Rosario Reserves 1-0 at home, thrashed CA Fenix Pilar Reserves 5-2 away, drew 1-1 at home with Sportivo Barracas Reserves, and lost 0-4 away to Lujan Reserves. Their attack has been productive, scoring 8 goals in the last five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last three meetings, Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves have never lost to Puerto Nuevo Reserves (1 win, 2 draws). The most recent clash on Apr 09, 2026 ended 0-0. The previous two encounters were also tight: a 0-0 draw on Sep 10, 2025, and a 1-0 home win for Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves on May 29, 2025. The H2H record suggests a low-scoring affair and a slight edge for the home side.

Win Probability: Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves or Puerto Nuevo Reserves?

We calculate the outcome probabilities based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and head-to-head data. The average odds (home 3.01, draw 2.45, away 2.48) imply a very close contest. After removing the bookmaker margin and adjusting for form and H2H, the win probabilities are:

• Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves win: 28%
• Draw: 35%
• Puerto Nuevo Reserves win: 37%

Puerto Nuevo Reserves’ superior recent form (3 wins in 5) gives them a slight edge, but Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves’ unbeaten H2H record and home advantage keep the match balanced. The draw is a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a tight encounter. The average odds are 3.01 for a home win, 2.45 for the draw, and 2.48 for an away win. These numbers reflect the competitive nature of the fixture. Based on the stats, Puerto Nuevo Reserves is the most likely winner, but the draw cannot be ruled out. A low-scoring match is expected given the H2H history of two 0-0 draws in the last three meetings.