Puerto Montt Women vs O'Higgins Women prediction for June 19, 2026, in the Chilean Liga Ascenso Women. The home side enters as the clear favorite with a 60% win probability, built on strong recent form and a commanding head-to-head record. All signs point to a likely victory for the team from Puerto Montt.
Puerto Montt Women have posted three wins in their last five matches (W-W-W-L-L). Their most recent outing was a 2-1 home success against O'Higgins Women itself, followed by a narrow 3-2 away defeat to Deportes Concepcion. At home, they have been particularly reliable, winning their last two games at this venue with an aggregate score of 5-1. The attack has been efficient, finding the net in four of those five fixtures.
O'Higgins Women arrive with two wins from their last five (L-W-L-W-L). Their only away victory in that span came at Curico Unido (3-1). Defensively, they have kept no clean sheets in this period, conceding in every match. The team has struggled for consistency, alternating between wins and losses without a draw.
The historical record is heavily skewed towards Puerto Montt Women. They have won three of the four previous meetings, with O'Higgins Women claiming just one win. There have been no draws. The most recent encounter, on June 19, 2026, ended 2-1 to the home side. All four matches produced at least two goals, and the home team has scored exactly two goals in three of those four clashes.
Based on the available data โ form, head-to-head record, and the home advantage โ we calculate the following outcome probabilities: Puerto Montt Women win 60%, draw 25%, O'Higgins Women win 15%. The home team's superior recent results, especially their perfect home record in the last two matches, combined with a 3-1 head-to-head lead, make them the logical favorite. O'Higgins Women's inconsistent away form further reduces their chances of an upset.
Bookmakers' odds are not currently available for this fixture. Nevertheless, our statistical analysis strongly favors a home win. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 to Puerto Montt Women, mirroring the result of their last head-to-head. With both teams showing a tendency to score and concede, over 2.5 goals appears a sensible supplementary pick. The prediction remains that Puerto Montt Women will claim all three points.