AC Boise - Portland Hearts of Pine prediction 18 July 2026

Our Portland Hearts of Pine vs AC Boise prediction for the USL League One match on July 18, 2026, at 01:30 UTC points to a very even contest. Based on recent form and league standings, Portland Hearts of Pine has a 35% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and AC Boise has a 35% chance. Read on for the full Portland Hearts of Pine vs AC Boise prediction, including betting tips and win probability.

Team Form

Portland Hearts of Pine's last five matches: D, W, W, L, L. They drew 1-1 with New York Cosmos (USL Cup), beat FC Naples 3-2 away, thrashed Richmond Kickers 5-1 at home, but then suffered heavy defeats: 1-5 at Westchester SC and 1-2 at home to Chattanooga Red Wolves. The team has scored 24 goals and conceded 24 in 15 league games, showing inconsistency. Their last four league outings produced 4, 6, 6, and 3 goals, indicating a trend towards high-scoring affairs.

AC Boise's recent form: W, W, L, W, L. They won 2-0 against Sacramento Republic (USL Cup), won 1-0 at Westchester SC, lost 1-2 at home to One Knoxville, beat Union Omaha 1-0 at home, and lost 1-5 at Forward Madison FC. With 23 goals scored and 23 conceded in 16 league matches, they are similarly balanced. Their away matches have been mixed, with two wins, two draws, and three losses on the road this season.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Portland Hearts of Pine and AC Boise. This will be their first meeting, so past encounters offer no guidance.

League Table Positions

In the USL League One overall standings, AC Boise sits 5th with 24 points from 16 games (7 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses). Portland Hearts of Pine is 9th with 20 points from 15 games (5 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses). Both teams have a goal difference of zero. The four-point gap is not significant, and Portland has a game in hand.

Looking at home and away splits: Portland's home record is not among the league's top eight, suggesting they have struggled at home. AC Boise's away form ranks 7th, with 8 points from 7 away games (2 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses), scoring 9 and conceding 13.

Portland Hearts of Pine vs AC Boise Prediction

Win Probability: Portland Hearts of Pine or AC Boise?

After analyzing the available data — team form, league positions, and home/away records — we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Portland Hearts of Pine 35%, draw 30%, AC Boise 35%. No bookmaker odds are available to use as a baseline, so these estimates are based purely on statistical indicators. The match is too close to call a clear favorite; both sides have identical goal differences and mixed recent results. Portland's home advantage is offset by AC Boise's higher league ranking and slightly better recent form (three wins in five vs two wins in five).

Odds & Match Prediction

At the time of writing, odds for this fixture are not listed. Our prediction, based on the stats, is that a draw is a likely outcome. A 1-1 scoreline would be consistent with both teams' scoring and defensive records. However, AC Boise's marginal edge in form means they could snatch a narrow win. We recommend checking the latest betting tips and odds closer to kickoff.