Poole Town - Sholing prediction 20 December 2025

Poole Town vs Sholing prediction for the Southern League Premier Division match on December 20, 2025, at 15:00. Based on our analysis of team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, Poole Town are the favorites with a 48% win probability. Sholing have a 24% chance, while the draw is at 28%.

Team Form

Poole Town come into this match with a mixed run of results: two draws, two wins, and one loss in their last five outings. They drew 2-2 away at Gloucester City and 3-3 at Uxbridge, before beating Havant & Waterlooville 2-0 and Chertsey Town 1-0. A 1-2 home defeat to Wimborne Town ended that unbeaten streak. Sholing's recent form is similarly inconsistent: a 4-0 away win at Dorchester Town was followed by a 2-2 home draw with Wimborne Town, then back-to-back losses (1-2 vs Farnham Town, 0-1 at Basingstoke Town) before a 2-1 home win over Tiverton Town.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last four meetings between these sides (excluding this fixture), the record is perfectly balanced with two wins each and no draws. The most recent clash on August 12, 2025, saw Sholing thrash Poole Town 4-1 at home. Earlier, on March 22, 2025, Poole Town won 2-0 at home. The two earlier encounters both went the way of the home side: Sholing 2-0 in November 2023 and Poole Town 3-1 in the FA Trophy in October 2023. The head-to-head suggests little to separate the teams, though Sholing's big win in the last meeting gives them a psychological edge.

League Table Positions

Poole Town sit 4th in the Southern League Premier Division with 75 points from 42 games (21 wins, 12 draws, 9 losses). Sholing are 6th with 69 points (18 wins, 15 draws, 9 losses). At home, Poole Town have been strong: 11 wins, 6 draws, and only 4 defeats from 21 matches, scoring 45 goals and conceding 22. Sholing's away record is respectable: 7 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, with 25 goals scored and 21 conceded. The standings clearly favor Poole Town, especially with home advantage.

Win Probability: Poole Town or Sholing?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Poole Town win – 48%, draw – 28%, Sholing win – 24%. These percentages are derived from a combination of league positions, home/away form, recent results, and head-to-head data. Poole Town's higher league finish and solid home record (52% win rate at home) make them the likely winners. Sholing's away form (33% win rate) and the even H2H record keep the draw and an away win within realistic possibilities. No bookmaker odds were available at the time of writing, so this is a purely statistical estimate.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this fixture are not currently listed by bookmakers. Based on the available stats, Poole Town are the expected winners. Our match prediction is a home victory, though Sholing's ability to grind out draws on the road (9 of 21 away games) means a stalemate cannot be ruled out. A 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline in favor of Poole Town looks the most probable outcome.