Pogon Mogilno - Sokol Kleczew prediction 28 January 2026
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The Pogon Mogilno vs Sokol Kleczew prediction for the Friendly Clubs match on January 28, 2026, at 17:00 points to an away victory. Sokol Kleczew enters as the clear favorite with a 65% win probability, while Pogon Mogilno has just a 15% chance of causing an upset. The draw stands at 20%.
Team Form
Pogon Mogilno's last five results show inconsistency: D, W, L, L, W. They drew 0-0 at home against Grom Nowy Staw, then won 6-0 away at Unia Gniewkowo. However, they lost 0-4 at home to Sokol Kleczew in this exact fixture, followed by a 1-2 home loss to Grom Nowy Staw, before bouncing back with a 3-0 away win at Orleta Aleksandrow Kujawski. The heavy defeat to today's opponent is a major concern.
Sokol Kleczew's recent form reads W, L, W, L, L. They beat Gornik Polkowice 2-1 at home, lost 0-1 away to the same opponent, won 2-1 at LKS Lodz II, then suffered a 2-5 home loss to Sandecja Nowy Sacz and a 0-3 away loss at Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biala. Despite the mixed results, they compete in the II Liga, a higher division than Pogon Mogilno's IV Liga, indicating a superior overall level.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record consists of only one previous meeting: Sokol Kleczew won 4-0 away at Pogon Mogilno on January 28, 2026, in the Friendly Clubs. That dominant away performance gives Sokol Kleczew a perfect record in this fixture (1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses) and a strong psychological edge.
League Table Positions
No current league table data is available for this Friendly Clubs match. However, the teams' recent competitive matches show a clear gap: Pogon Mogilno plays in the IV Liga, while Sokol Kleczew competes in the II Liga. This two-division difference heavily favors the away side.
Win Probability: Pogon Mogilno or Sokol Kleczew?
Based on all available data, the win probabilities are: Pogon Mogilno 15%, draw 20%, Sokol Kleczew 65%. The calculation uses the head-to-head result (4-0 away win for Sokol Kleczew), the division gap, and recent form. Sokol Kleczew's higher league status and the one-sided H2H make them the clear favorite. Pogon Mogilno's home advantage is offset by the 0-4 loss in the same fixture. The draw probability reflects the friendly nature of the match, but the quality difference suggests Sokol Kleczew is the most likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' odds are not available for this match. Without market odds, the prediction relies solely on statistical factors. Sokol Kleczew is the expected winner, and a correct score bet on an away win with over 2.5 total goals could offer value if odds appear. The final prediction: Sokol Kleczew to win, with a high probability of at least two goals in the match.
Pogon Mogilno vs Sokol Kleczew โ FAQ
- Who will win Pogon Mogilno vs Sokol Kleczew?
- Sokol Kleczew has a 65% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and Pogon Mogilno has a 15% chance. The prediction favors Sokol Kleczew based on their 4-0 head-to-head win and higher league status.
- What is the win probability for Sokol Kleczew?
- Sokol Kleczew has a 65% win probability. This high percentage reflects their II Liga quality, the dominant 4-0 away victory in the only previous meeting, and Pogon Mogilno's struggles at home.
- When is the Pogon Mogilno vs Sokol Kleczew match?
- The match is on January 28, 2026, at 17:00. It is a Friendly Clubs fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- No bookmaker odds are available for this match. The prediction is based purely on team form, head-to-head record, and the division difference between the two clubs.