Perth RedStar - Fremantle City FC prediction 18 July 2026

Our Perth RedStar vs Fremantle City FC prediction for the NPL Western Australia match on Jul 18, 2026, gives the home side a 50% chance of winning. The game kicks off at 07:00 UTC, with league leaders Perth RedStar hosting fifth-placed Fremantle City FC. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, the hosts are clear favorites.

Team Form

Perth RedStar have recorded three wins and two losses in their last five matches (W-W-L-W-L). All those games were away from home, including a 2-1 win at Olympic Kingsway and a 1-0 victory at Stirling Lions FC. At home this season, they remain unbeaten with six wins and three draws from nine NPL Western Australia fixtures.

Fremantle City FC are in excellent form, with four wins and one draw in their last five outings (W-D-W-W-W). They beat Sorrento FC 2-0 away, then drew 1-1 at home to Bayswater City before three straight wins. However, their away record in the league is modest: two wins, four draws, and two losses in eight trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these sides is perfectly balanced: two wins each and two draws in the last six meetings. The most recent clash, on May 30, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw at Fremantle City FC. Before that, Perth RedStar won 2-0 at home in July 2025, while Fremantle City FC triumphed 4-2 at home in May 2025. Home advantage has been decisive in recent NPL Western Australia encounters.

League Table Positions

Perth RedStar sit top of the NPL Western Australia table with 37 points from 17 matches (11 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses). They have the best home record in the division: 21 points from nine games, scoring 15 and conceding just seven. Fremantle City FC are fifth with 28 points from 18 games (7 wins, 7 draws, 4 losses). On the road, they have collected only 10 points from eight matches, with a goal difference of +1 (15 scored, 14 conceded).

Win Probability: Perth RedStar or Fremantle City FC?

After analyzing the odds, team form, and league standings, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Perth RedStar win: 50%
• Draw: 30%
• Fremantle City FC win: 20%

The bookmakers’ average odds (home 1.85, draw 2.33, away 3.65) imply a 43.5% chance for a home win, but we have adjusted that upward because Perth RedStar are unbeaten at home and top of the table. Fremantle City FC’s strong recent form and the balanced head-to-head record keep the draw probability at a solid 30%, while their poor away record reduces the likelihood of an away victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this NPL Western Australia fixture are around 1.85 for a Perth RedStar win, 2.33 for the draw, and 3.65 for a Fremantle City FC victory. Bookmakers clearly see the home side as the favorite. Based on the stats, Perth RedStar should have the edge, but Fremantle City FC’s momentum could force a draw. Our prediction is a home win or a low-scoring draw, with a 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline the most likely outcomes.