Persita Tangerang - Madura United prediction 7 March 2026

Persita Tangerang vs Madura United prediction: the Liga 1 match on March 7, 2026, at 13:30 sees Madura United as the favorite with a 45% win probability. The hosts are in poor form, while Madura have won three of their last five. Our full preview examines team form, head-to-head record, league standings, and win probabilities to help you decide who will win this fixture.

Team Form

Persita Tangerang Last 5 Matches

• May 23: Persita Tangerang 1–3 Persis Solo (L)
• May 16: Malut United 1–1 Persita Tangerang (D)
• May 10: Persita Tangerang 0–3 Persijap Jepara (L)
• May 05: Borneo Samarinda 2–0 Persita Tangerang (L)
• Apr 30: PSIM Yogyakarta 0–1 Persita Tangerang (W)

Persita Tangerang’s form reads W, L, L, D, L (oldest to most recent). They have managed just one win in their last five outings, scoring only 3 goals while conceding 8. The defensive frailties and lack of consistent attacking threat are a major concern ahead of this clash.

Madura United Last 5 Matches

• May 23: Madura United 2–0 PSM Makassar (W)
• May 17: PSIM Yogyakarta 2–1 Madura United (L)
• May 11: Bhayangkara Surabaya United 3–1 Madura United (L)
• May 05: Madura United 2–0 Bali United Persisam (W)
• Apr 29: Semen Padang 0–1 Madura United (W)

Madura United’s recent results (W, W, L, L, W) show three wins in five, including two clean sheets. They have been more solid defensively and more effective going forward, making them the form side heading into this encounter.

Head-to-Head Record

The last four meetings between Persita Tangerang and Madura United (excluding this fixture) show a clear advantage for the visitors:

• Aug 24, 2025: Madura United 1–1 Persita Tangerang
• Jan 24, 2025: Persita Tangerang 1–1 Madura United
• Mar 6, 2024: Madura United 3–2 Persita Tangerang
• Sep 1, 2023: Persita Tangerang 1–3 Madura United

Madura United are unbeaten in these four H2H meetings with two wins and two draws. Persita Tangerang have failed to record a single victory, and notably conceded at least one goal in each match. The head-to-head history strongly favours an away side result.

League Table Positions

Persita Tangerang sit 10th in the Liga 1 table after 33 matches, with 13 wins, 6 draws, 14 defeats, and 45 points. They have scored 37 goals and conceded 34. Madura United’s exact position is not listed among the top 12, but their absence suggests they are lower in the standings. The league context gives Persita a nominal home advantage, but their inconsistent season undermines that edge.

Win Probability: Persita Tangerang or Madura United?

We calculate the win probabilities based on head-to-head record, recent form, and home advantage:

• Persita Tangerang win: 25%
• Draw: 30%
• Madura United win: 45%

Madura United are the more likely winner. Their current form (3 wins in 5) is superior to Persita’s (1 win in 5). The head-to-head record also points clearly to the visitors: Madura are unbeaten in their last four encounters with two wins and two draws. Persita’s home advantage is partially offset by their poor recent performances and low-scoring record. The draw probability is significant (30%) given that two of the last four H2H meetings ended level, but overall the numbers suggest an away victory is the most probable outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture. Based purely on the statistical evidence, Madura United are the predicted winners. Their higher win probability, superior form, and dominant head-to-head record make them the smart pick for this Liga 1 match. A cautious approach would be to consider the draw as a live option, but the value lies with an away win given the 45% probability.