Get our Persebo Muda Bondowoso vs Baruna Nusantara FC prediction for the Liga 4 match on December 15, 2025, at 06:00 UTC. Based on the available data, Baruna Nusantara FC enters as the slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while the hosts have a 30% chance and the draw stands at 30%.
Persebo Muda Bondowoso's recent form shows inconsistency. In their last three matches, they have recorded a draw, a win, and a loss. The draw came in this very fixture (1-1), the victory was a 3-2 away win against Banyuwangi Putra on Dec 11, and the defeat was a 0-2 home loss to NZR Sumbersari back in December 2023. That lone win in three games highlights their struggle for consistency.
Baruna Nusantara FC, on the other hand, have been much more impressive. Over their last five matches, they have secured three wins and suffered two losses. Notable results include a 2-1 away win against Inter Pemuda Kediri, a 1-0 victory at Perseta 1970, and a commanding 5-1 home thrashing of Putra Jaya. The two defeats were narrow 0-1 and 1-3 reverses. With three wins in five, the away side clearly carries the form edge.
The only previous meeting between these two clubs is the match itself, which ended in a 1-1 draw. Therefore, the head-to-head record offers no clear advantage for either side, and we must rely on recent form and other factors to separate them.
We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Persebo Muda Bondowoso win โ 30%, draw โ 30%, Baruna Nusantara FC win โ 40%. The away team is given a higher chance due to their superior recent results (3 wins in 5 matches vs 1 win in 3 for the home side). The only previous encounter ended all square, so a draw remains a realistic outcome. Home advantage is factored in but is not enough to overcome the form gap.
No bookmaker odds are available for this Liga 4 fixture. However, based on the statistical analysis, Baruna Nusantara FC are the slight favorites. The prediction is a closely contested match, with the away team more likely to edge it, but a draw cannot be ruled out. Our betting tip would be to back the away win if odds become available, or consider the draw as a value option.