Caboolture FC Women - Peninsula Power Women prediction 17 July 2026

Our Caboolture FC Women vs Peninsula Power Women prediction looks ahead to the Queensland Premier League Women match on July 17, 2026, at 10:30. Caboolture FC Women are the clear favorites, with a calculated win probability of 70% based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and recent form.

Team Form

Caboolture FC Women head into this fixture in strong shape. Their last five results show three wins and two draws, with no losses in that period. The team scored 5 goals against Logan Lightning Women and 2 against The Gap Women, while keeping two clean sheets in draws against North Lakes United and Palm Beach Sharks. That consistency gives them a solid foundation.

Peninsula Power Women have three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. The 4-2 defeat at home to Grange Thistle is a notable blemish, but they bounced back with a 3-1 away win at Virginia United and a 1-0 home victory over Moreton City Excelsior. Their form is decent, though not as flawless as the home side's.

Head-to-Head Record

Recent meetings heavily favor Caboolture FC Women. In the last four encounters, Caboolture have won three and Peninsula Power one. The most recent clash, on April 25, 2026, ended 4-0 to Caboolture away from home. The only Peninsula Power victory came in a 2-1 home win back in May 2025. Excluding a friendly from 2017, the competitive H2H record is 3-0 to Caboolture FC Women, with an aggregate score of 8-1 across those three matches.

Win Probability: Caboolture FC Women or Peninsula Power Women?

Using the inverse of the average bookmaker odds (home win 1.40, draw 3.60, away win 8.13) and adjusting for team form and head-to-head dominance, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

• Caboolture FC Women win: 70%
• Draw: 20%
• Peninsula Power Women win: 10%

The odds imply a home win probability of around 64% before adjustments. The strong H2H record and Caboolture’s unbeaten recent run push that figure to 70%. Peninsula Power’s chances are slim, underpinned by their long odds and poor record at this venue.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced Caboolture FC Women as overwhelming favorites. The best available odds are 1.39 for a home win, 3.50 for the draw, and 7.90 for an away win. The market clearly expects a one-sided affair. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a Caboolture FC Women victory. A bet on the home side offers little value at those odds, but the form and H2H data strongly support a home win. The draw is a distant second possibility, while an away upset appears highly unlikely.