Penedense AL - Zumbi EC AL prediction 18 March 2026

The Penedense AL vs Zumbi EC AL prediction for the Copa Alagoas match on March 18, 2026, points to a home advantage for Penedense AL. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Penedense AL has a 45% chance of winning, with a draw at 30% and Zumbi EC AL at 25%.

Team Form

Penedense AL's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they have recorded a draw, followed by three losses and a win: D, L, L, W, L. The team have struggled to find consistency, with only one win in that stretch. Their latest result was a 2-2 draw against Zumbi EC AL in this same fixture.

• Mar 18: Penedense AL 2-2 Zumbi EC AL (Copa Alagoas) – D
• Mar 02: Penedense AL 0-1 AS Arapiraquense AL (Copa Alagoas) – L
• Feb 25: Londrina PR 1-0 Penedense AL (Cup) – L
• Feb 21: Miguelense AL 0-1 Penedense AL (Copa Alagoas) – W
• Feb 07: AS Arapiraquense AL 2-0 Penedense AL (Campeonato Alagoano) – L

Zumbi EC AL's last five results read D, D, W, L, L. They have also shown mixed form, with two draws, a win, and two losses. Their most recent outing was a 1-1 draw away to Desportiva Alianca AL on April 18, 2026, but that match came after the meeting with Penedense.

• Apr 18: Desportiva Alianca AL 1-1 Zumbi EC AL (Campeonato Alagoano. Serie B U23) – D
• Mar 18: Penedense AL 2-2 Zumbi EC AL (Copa Alagoas) – D
• Mar 14: Zumbi EC AL 1-0 Murici AL (Copa Alagoas) – W
• Feb 11: Zumbi EC AL 1-4 CS Esportiva AL (Copa Alagoas) – L
• Feb 04: AS Arapiraquense AL 2-1 Zumbi EC AL (Copa Alagoas) – L

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Penedense AL. In the three meetings between these sides, Penedense have won twice and drawn once. Zumbi EC AL have yet to beat Penedense. The most recent encounter was a 2-2 draw on March 18, 2026, in the Copa Alagoas. The previous two matches, both played away from home, saw Penedense win 2-0 and 2-1.

• Mar 18, 2026: Penedense AL 2-2 Zumbi EC AL (Copa Alagoas) – Draw
• Feb 04, 2024: Zumbi EC AL 0-2 Penedense AL (Copa Alagoas) – Penedense win
• Jul 15, 2023: Zumbi EC AL 1-2 Penedense AL (Campeonato Catarinense) – Penedense win

Win Probability: Penedense AL or Zumbi EC AL?

Calculating the probabilities, Penedense AL have a 45% chance of winning, the draw stands at 30%, and Zumbi EC AL have a 25% chance. These estimates are based on the head-to-head dominance (Penedense unbeaten in three meetings), home advantage, and the mixed recent form of both teams. While Penedense have not been in great shape, their historical edge over Zumbi gives them a clear advantage.

Odds & Match Prediction

No odds are available for this match. Our prediction, based on the available stats, is that Penedense AL are more likely to win. The head-to-head record and home factor are the key reasons. However, both teams' recent form suggests a competitive match, and a draw is a distinct possibility.