The Paraguay Women vs USA Women prediction for the Friendly International Women match on January 24, 2026, points to a clear favorite. USA Women enter the contest with a 70% chance of victory, while Paraguay Women face an uphill battle at home with just a 10% win probability. The draw sits at 20%.
Paraguay Women's recent form has been mixed, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. They recorded dominant victories over Bolivia Women (8-0) and Ecuador Women (2-0), but suffered defeats against Palmeiras SP Women (0-3) and Colombia Women (3-4). A draw against Peru Women (1-1) completed the sequence.
USA Women won three of their last five matches, beating Brazil Women (1-0) and Japan Women (3-0 and 2-1), while losing to Brazil Women (1-2) and Japan Women (0-1).
The two previous friendly meetings between Paraguay Women and USA Women were completely one-sided. USA Women won both encounters in September 2021 with staggering scorelines of 9-0 and 8-0, outscoring their opponents by a combined 17-0. Paraguay Women have never found the net against the American side.
After analyzing the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Paraguay Women 10%, Draw 20%, USA Women 70%. The calculation is based primarily on the overwhelming head-to-head record, where USA Women have dominated with a 17-0 aggregate in two matches. Paraguay Women's home advantage and recent wins over weaker opponents are factored in, but the quality gap is too large to ignore. The draw remains a realistic outcome if USA Women rotate heavily, but a Paraguay victory would be a massive shock.
No specific bookmaker odds are provided in the data, but the implied probability from historical results suggests USA Women would be priced as extremely short favorites. Our prediction, grounded in the stats and head-to-head dominance, is a comfortable win for USA Women. Paraguay Women are likely to struggle to contain the American attack, and a clean sheet for the visitors is a strong possibility.