Pakhtakor - Xorazm FK Urganch prediction 21 July 2026
Pakhtakor
Xorazm FK UrganchPakhtakor
Lokomotiv Farm TashkentPakhtakorKattaqorgonSurkhon TermezPakhtakorPakhtakorTuran YaypanSurkhon TermezPakhtakorPakhtakorNasaf QarshiFK BuxoroPakhtakorPakhtakorDinamo SamarqandPakhtakorMashal MuborakNeftchiPakhtakorPakhtakorAGMK OlmaliqSogdianaPakhtakorNeftchiPakhtakorPakhtakorNavbahor NamanganFK Kokand 1912PakhtakorSogdianaXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchNavbahor NamanganFarDu FerganaXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchAndijanQizilqum ZarafshonXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchNeftchiMashal MuborakXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchFK Kokand 1912Lokomotiv Farm TashkentXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchDinamo SamarqandXorazm FK UrganchBunyodkorFK BuxoroXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchAGMK OlmaliqNasaf QarshiXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchZimbru Chisinau| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.06 | 12.11 | 51.00 | |
| 1.05 | 11.00 | 41.00 | |
| 1.04 | 10.00 | 101.00 | |
| 1.03 | 9.25 | 67.00 |
Xorazm FK UrganchPakhtakorPakhtakorXorazm FK Urganch| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 27:4 | +23 | 31 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Navbahor Namangan | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:11 | +5 | 20 |
| 4 |  FK Buxoro | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | +3 | 20 |
| 5 |  AGMK Olmaliq | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:16 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Bunyodkor | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 |  Nasaf Qarshi | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Andijan | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17:13 | +4 | 16 |
| 10 |  Surkhon Termez | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 15 |
| 11 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Xorazm FK Urganch | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 |  Qizilqum Zarafshon | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 |  Sogdiana | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21:25 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 |  FK Kokand 1912 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 |  Mashal Muborak | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5:21 | -16 | 3 |
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm FK Urganch Prediction (Jul 21)
The Pakhtakor vs Xorazm FK Urganch prediction for the Uzbekistan Super League match on July 21, 2026, at 15:00 points to a home win. Pakhtakor enters as the strong favorite with a 70% win probability, while Xorazm FK Urganch faces an uphill battle with just a 10% chance. Read on for detailed betting tips, odds, and head-to-head analysis.
Team Form
Pakhtakor's recent results (most recent first):
- Jul 17: Pakhtakor 1-1 Lokomotiv Farm Tashkent (Super League) – D
- May 27: Pakhtakor 3-0 Kattaqorgon (Cup) – W
- May 18: Surkhon Termez 2-0 Pakhtakor (Cup) – L
- May 13: Pakhtakor 4-1 Turan Yaypan (Cup) – W
- May 3: Surkhon Termez 1-1 Pakhtakor (Super League) – D
That's two wins, two draws, and one loss. At home in the league, Pakhtakor has 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 14 goals in 7 matches.
Xorazm FK Urganch's recent results:
- Jul 16: Sogdiana 2-0 Xorazm FK Urganch (Super League) – L
- May 18: Xorazm FK Urganch 1-1 Navbahor Namangan (Cup) – D
- May 12: FarDu Fergana 0-1 Xorazm FK Urganch (Cup) – W
- May 4: Xorazm FK Urganch 0-3 Andijan (Super League) – L
- Apr 29: Qizilqum Zarafshon 0-0 Xorazm FK Urganch (Super League) – D
One win, two draws, and two losses. They have scored only 9 goals in 12 league matches, averaging 0.75 per game, and conceded 15.
Head-to-Head Record
Pakhtakor has dominated the head-to-head record with two wins from two meetings. The most recent clash on October 23, 2025, saw Pakhtakor win 1-0 away. Earlier, on May 25, 2025, they secured a 2-1 home victory. Xorazm FK Urganch has never beaten Pakhtakor, scoring only one goal in these two encounters.
League Table Positions
In the Super League standings, Pakhtakor sits 2nd with 27 points from 12 matches (8 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss). They have scored 23 goals and conceded 13. Xorazm FK Urganch is 12th with 13 points (3 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses), scoring 9 and conceding 15. The 14-point gap and goal difference underline Pakhtakor's superiority. Pakhtakor's home form (4W 2D 1L) is strong, while Xorazm's away record is not among the top eight in the league.
Win Probability: Pakhtakor or Xorazm FK Urganch?
We calculate the win probabilities as: Pakhtakor 70%, draw 20%, Xorazm FK Urganch 10%. This is based on bookmaker odds (1.38, 4.70, 9.33) which imply a 69% home win chance after margin removal, adjusted upward due to Pakhtakor's perfect H2H record, higher league position, and home advantage. Xorazm's low scoring rate and poor recent form reduce their chances significantly.
Odds & Match Prediction
The best available odds are 1.38 for a Pakhtakor win, 4.70 for a draw, and 9.33 for a Xorazm FK Urganch win. Bookmakers heavily favor the home side. Our Pakhtakor vs Xorazm FK Urganch prediction is a home win. Considering the stats, a 2-0 or 2-1 scoreline is plausible. For betting tips, backing Pakhtakor to win and under 2.5 goals could offer value.
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm FK Urganch — FAQ
- Who will win Pakhtakor vs Xorazm FK Urganch?
- Based on our analysis, Pakhtakor has a 70% chance of winning, a draw has a 20% probability, and Xorazm FK Urganch has a 10% chance. Pakhtakor is the clear favorite.
- What is the win probability for Pakhtakor?
- Pakhtakor has a 70% win probability. This is derived from bookmaker odds of 1.38, a perfect head-to-head record, and their 2nd place league position compared to Xorazm's 12th.
- When is the Pakhtakor vs Xorazm FK Urganch match?
- The match is scheduled for July 21, 2026, at 15:00. It is a Super League fixture in Uzbekistan.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds are 1.38 for a Pakhtakor win, 4.70 for a draw, and 9.33 for a Xorazm FK Urganch win. These odds reflect Pakhtakor's strong favorite status.