Padova - Empoli prediction 12 April 2026
Padova
Empoli
CesenaPadovaPadovaPescaraVirtus EntellaPadovaPadovaReggianaPadovaEmpoliFrosinonePadovaPadovaPalermoVeneziaPadovaPadovaCatanzaroUS Avellino 1912PadovaPadovaSpeziaModenaPadovaPadovaBariSampdoriaPadovaPadovaCarrareseMonzaEmpoliEmpoliUS Avellino 1912VeneziaEmpoliEmpoliVirtus EntellaPadovaEmpoliSampdoriaEmpoliEmpoliPescaraSpeziaEmpoliEmpoliMantovaCatanzaroEmpoliBariEmpoliEmpoliCesenaFrosinoneEmpoliEmpoliReggianaEmpoliJuve StabiaPadovaEmpoliEmpoliPadova| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Venezia | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | +46 | 82 |
| 2 |  Frosinone | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | +42 | 81 |
| 3 |  Monza | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | +29 | 76 |
| 4 |  Palermo | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | +28 | 72 |
| 5 |  Catanzaro | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | +11 | 59 |
| 6 |  Modena | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | +13 | 55 |
| 7 |  Juve Stabia | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
| 8 |  US Avellino 1912 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
| 9 |  Mantova | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
| 10 | Padova | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
| 11 |  Cesena | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
| 12 |  Carrarese | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
| 13 |  Sampdoria | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
| 15 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
| 16 |  Sudtirol | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
| 17 |  Bari | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
| 18 |  Reggiana | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
| 19 |  Spezia | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
| 20 |  Pescara | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
Padova vs Empoli Prediction (Apr 12)
The Padova vs Empoli prediction for the Serie B clash on April 12, 2026, gives Padova a clear edge. Based on current form, league positions, and home advantage, Padova has a 60% probability to win, while the draw stands at 25% and Empoli has a 15% chance.
Team Form
Padova’s home form is strong: they have won 4 of their last 5 home matches in Serie B (W, W, L, W, W). The only home defeat in that run came against Virtus Entella. At home, they have been consistently solid, including a 1-0 victory over Reggiana and a 1-0 win against Pescara.
Empoli’s away form is a concern. Their last 5 away results read D, W, L, D, L – only one win, two draws, and two defeats. The most recent away trip was a 2-2 draw at Monza, preceded by a 0-2 loss at Venezia and a 0-1 loss at Padova. That lack of away consistency makes them underdogs here.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met twice in Serie B before, with one win each – both home victories. Padova won the reverse fixture 1-0 at home on April 12, 2026. Earlier, Empoli triumphed 3-1 at home in August 2025. The head-to-head record shows a home‑win pattern, which further supports Padova’s advantage in this matchup.
League Table Positions
Padova finished the season 10th in the Serie B table with 46 points from 38 games (12 wins, 10 draws, 16 losses). Empoli ended outside the top 12, indicating a weaker campaign overall. Padova also had a better home record (6 wins in 19) compared to Empoli’s away struggles, which underlines the gap between the sides.
Win Probability: Padova or Empoli?
The win probability percentages reflect all available data:
- Padova win: 60%
- Draw: 25%
- Empoli win: 15%
This calculation is based on Padova’s dominant home form (4 wins in 5), Empoli’s poor away record (1 win in 5), the head‑to‑head home‑win trend, and the final league table gap. Home advantage and recent momentum make Padova the clear favorite. Empoli’s low probability reflects their difficulty on the road and lower standing in the division.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmaker odds are not available for this fixture, but the statistical model strongly favors Padova. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a Padova victory. Betting tips would point towards a home win or a draw/draw scenario, though Padova’s recent 1-0 win over Empoli suggests a narrow margin again.
Padova vs Empoli — FAQ
- Who will win Padova vs Empoli?
- Padova has a 60% chance to win, the draw is at 25%, and Empoli has a 15% chance. Padova’s strong home form and Empoli’s poor away record make a home victory the most probable outcome.
- What is the win probability for Padova?
- Padova has a 60% win probability. This is based on 4 wins in their last 5 home games, a better league position (10th vs. outside top 12), and a home‑win pattern in head‑to‑head meetings.
- When is the Padova vs Empoli match?
- The match took place on April 12, 2026, with a kick‑off at 13:00 UTC. It was a Serie B encounter between Padova and Empoli.
- What are the odds for the match?
- No bookmaker odds are available in the data. The win probabilities are estimated from team form, head‑to‑head record, and league standings – giving Padova a 60% chance.
- How many goals were scored in previous Padova vs Empoli games?
- In two Serie B meetings, the home team won each time: Padova 1‑0 Empoli (Apr 2026) and Empoli 3‑1 Padova (Aug 2025). Total goals across both matches: 5.