| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 74:21 | +53 | 65 | |
| 2 | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 63:39 | +24 | 52 | |
| 3 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 58:29 | +29 | 47 | |
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 41:26 | +15 | 42 | |
| 5 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 | |
| 6 | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 33 | |
| 7 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 32:31 | +1 | 33 | |
| 8 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 39:24 | +15 | 33 | |
| 9 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 32 | |
| 10 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 35:37 | -2 | 30 | |
| 11 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 25:28 | -3 | 30 | |
| 12 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 37:40 | -3 | 29 | |
| 13 | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24:50 | -26 | 19 | |
| 14 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 8:96 | -88 | 3 |
Padinska Skela vs Jedinstvo Surcin prediction for the Srpska Liga match on May 23, 2026, at 15:30. Padinska Skela enters as the favorite with a 55% win probability, while Jedinstvo Surcin has a 20% chance and the draw sits at 25%. This conclusion is drawn from recent form, head-to-head record, and league standings.
Padinska Skela's last three results before this fixture were a draw and two wins (D, W, W). They drew 1-1 away to T6 Nika Lepusnica on May 10, then beat FK Prva Iskra Baric 3-0 away on April 25, and defeated Zvezdara 2-0 away on April 4. This solid away form boosts confidence coming back home.
Jedinstvo Surcin, on the other hand, lost their last three matches leading up to this game (L, L, L). They fell 3-1 away to Radnicki Obrenovac on May 17, lost 1-0 at home to BASK Belgrade on April 26, and suffered a heavy 4-0 home defeat to FK Torlak on April 18. The visitors are struggling for points and goals.
In the last three meetings, Padinska Skela has the upper hand with 2 wins and 1 draw. The most recent clash before this match was on November 8, 2025, when Padinska Skela won 2-0 at home. The only other encounter ended in a 2-2 draw on September 10, 2023. Jedinstvo Surcin has never beaten Padinska Skela in this period.
Padinska Skela sits 5th in the Srpska Liga overall table with 37 points from 25 matches (10 wins, 7 draws, 8 losses). At home, they are 7th with 20 points from 12 games (5 wins, 5 draws, 2 losses), scoring 16 and conceding only 8. Jedinstvo Surcin is 6th overall with 33 points (9 wins, 6 draws, 10 losses), but their away form is weaker: 11 points from 12 away matches, with a negative goal difference. The 4-point gap and home advantage clearly favor Padinska Skela.
Based on all available data, the win probabilities are:
Padinska Skela's strong recent form (unbeaten in three), dominant head-to-head record (2W 1D 0L), higher league position, and excellent home defensive record (only 8 goals conceded in 12 home games) make them the clear favorite. Jedinstvo Surcin's three-game losing streak and poor away performances reduce their chances significantly. The draw remains a plausible outcome, but the stats point to a home win.
Specific bookmaker odds are not available in the data, but the statistical model strongly favors Padinska Skela. Considering the home team's defensive solidity and Jedinstvo Surcin's scoring struggles (only 22 goals in 25 league games), a low-scoring home win is the most likely scenario. Our prediction: Padinska Skela to win, possibly with a clean sheet.