Pacos Ferreira - Benfica B prediction 14 March 2026

Pacos Ferreira vs Benfica B prediction for the Segunda Liga match on March 14, 2026. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Pacos Ferreira is the favorite with a 55% probability of winning. The match kicks off at 14:00, and all signs point to a home victory.

Team Form

Pacos Ferreira come into this match with mixed results: two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. They beat Penafiel 2-1 and Chaves 4-3, drew 1-1 with Farense, and lost 1-2 to Feirense and 0-2 to Lusitania Lourosa. The attack has been productive, scoring 8 goals in those five games, but the defense has conceded 9.

Benfica B are struggling badly. Their last five matches produced just one win — a 1-0 victory at Sporting Lisbon B — and four defeats. They lost 0-2 to Porto B, 0-2 to Academico Viseu, 1-2 to Maritimo, and 0-3 to UD Oliveirense. With only one goal scored in those four losses, their attacking threat is minimal.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last six meetings between these sides, Pacos Ferreira have won three, Benfica B have won one, and two matches ended in draws. The most recent encounters have been tight, with two of the last three ending level. Pacos Ferreira’s home advantage has historically been a factor, and they have not lost at home to Benfica B in the last three such fixtures.

Win Probability: Pacos Ferreira or Benfica B?

After analyzing the available data, we assign the following win probabilities:

• Pacos Ferreira win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• Benfica B win: 20%

Pacos Ferreira’s superior recent form, strong head-to-head record (3 wins in 6), and home advantage make them clear favorites. Benfica B’s poor run of four losses in five games, combined with a lack of goals, significantly reduces their chances. The draw probability reflects the two stalemates in the last six H2H meetings.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this fixture are currently unavailable. However, based on the stats, Pacos Ferreira are expected to control the game and secure the win. A home victory is the most likely outcome, with a 55% probability. For betting tips, backing Pacos Ferreira to win looks the safest option, while a draw could offer value given the history of tight contests.