Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Lommel prediction 15 July 2026

Our Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Lommel prediction for this Friendly Clubs match on July 15, 2026 at 09:00 UTC points to Oud-Heverlee Leuven as the clear favorite. Based on the available data, Oud-Heverlee Leuven has a 55% win probability, while Lommel's chances are significantly lower.

Team Form

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has a mixed record from their last five outings, showing two wins, two draws, and one defeat. They recently drew 1-1 at home against Olympiacos Piraeus in a friendly and thrashed Crossing Schaerbeek 7-0. In their final competitive match, they suffered a 0-2 home loss to Genk in the Jupiler Pro League. Their form pattern reads D, W, L, D, W.

Lommel arrives in better shape with three wins and two draws in their last five. They played a 1-1 draw at Cercle Brugge in their latest friendly and beat Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 4-2. Their recent competitive form includes a 0-0 draw at Dender and a 3-1 away win at Beerschot-Wilrijk in the Challenger Pro League. Their recent results pattern is D, W, D, W, W.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, Oud-Heverlee Leuven dominates this matchup. In 15 total encounters, Leuven recorded 9 wins, while Lommel managed 5 victories, with only 1 draw. The most recent recorded fixtures, all from the 2019 Challenger Pro League season, show a mix: Lommel won one home game 3-2, while Leuven secured a 2-0 away victory in another. The overall H2H record strongly favors Leuven.

League Table Positions

No current league table data is available for this Friendly Clubs match. Both teams will use this game to fine-tune preparations, but Leuven competed in the Jupiler Pro League last season, while Lommel featured in both the Jupiler Pro League and Challenger Pro League. The higher level of competition for Leuven may offer a slight quality edge.

Win Probability: Oud-Heverlee Leuven or Lommel?

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 24%, and Lommel has a 21% winning probability. These estimates are derived from bookmaker odds, with the inverse of the averages (1.65 home, 3.35 draw, 4.30 away) normalized to remove the margin, then adjusted for Oud-Heverlee Leuven's dominant head-to-head record (9-1-5) against a Lommel side showing solid friendly preparation. Leuven's home advantage and history give them the clear edge.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Oud-Heverlee Leuven as the favorite. The available pre-match 1X2 odds show a home win priced as low as 1.63, with a peak around 1.65. The draw odds range widely from 2.40 up to 4.03, while an away win for Lommel sits between 4.20 and 4.45. The prediction based on the stats is a likely home victory for Oud-Heverlee Leuven. Their superior H2H record and higher-division experience should prove decisive.