Ordino - CF Esperanca D Andorra prediction 16 May 2026

Ordino vs CF Esperanca D Andorra prediction for the Primera Division match on May 16, 2026, at 14:00 UTC. Based on head-to-head record, league standings, and recent form, Ordino enters as the clear favorite with a 60% chance to win, while the draw sits at 25% and an away victory for CF Esperanca D Andorra is just 15%.

Team Form

Ordino's last five matches show mixed results: D, W, L, L, W. The draw came in this exact fixture against CF Esperanca D Andorra. Before that, they secured a 1-0 away win at FC Santa Coloma, lost 0-1 at home to Penya Encarnada D Andorra, suffered a heavy 0-4 defeat at Inter Club d'Escaldes, and thrashed CE Carroi 5-0 at home. At home this season, Ordino have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, scoring 16 goals and conceding 18.

CF Esperanca D Andorra's last five results read W, D, L, L, L. The win was a 2-0 home success against SC Escaldes, followed by the 2-2 draw at Ordino. They then lost 0-3 at home to UE Santa Coloma, 0-4 away at FC Santa Coloma, and 0-1 at home to Penya Encarnada D Andorra. On the road, CF Esperanca D Andorra have recorded just 1 win, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with only 8 goals scored and 27 conceded.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met 7 times in the Primera Division. Ordino have never lost, winning 3 and drawing 4. The most recent encounters underline this dominance:

• May 16, 2026: Ordino 2-2 CF Esperanca D Andorra
• Jan 25, 2026: CF Esperanca D Andorra 1-2 Ordino
• Oct 19, 2025: Ordino 1-1 CF Esperanca D Andorra
• Apr 6, 2025: Ordino 1-1 CF Esperanca D Andorra
• Feb 23, 2025: CF Esperanca D Andorra 2-2 Ordino

CF Esperanca D Andorra have yet to beat Ordino, and 4 of the 7 meetings ended in draws, highlighting a pattern of tight contests.

League Table Positions

In the overall Primera Division standings, Ordino sit 7th with 22 points from 24 matches (6 wins, 4 draws, 14 losses), while CF Esperanca D Andorra are bottom in 9th with only 11 points (2 wins, 5 draws, 17 losses). The home table shows Ordino in 7th with 12 points from 12 games, and the away table ranks CF Esperanca D Andorra 8th with just 6 points from 12 trips. The 11-point gap and Ordino's home advantage further strengthen their favorite status.

Win Probability: Ordino or CF Esperanca D Andorra?

After analyzing all available data, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Ordino win – 60%, draw – 25%, CF Esperanca D Andorra win – 15%. This assessment is based on the head-to-head record (Ordino unbeaten in 7 meetings), the league table gap (22 vs 11 points), home advantage, and recent form. Ordino's last five games include two wins and a draw against this opponent, while CF Esperanca D Andorra have lost three of their last five. The high draw percentage reflects the 4 draws in 7 H2H clashes. Ordino are clearly the more likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific bookmaker odds are not available in the provided data. However, based on the stats, any bookmaker would price Ordino as the favorite. The head-to-head dominance and league positions suggest an Ordino win is the most probable outcome, but the frequent draws in this fixture cannot be ignored. Our prediction: Ordino to win, with a draw as a realistic secondary outcome. A bet on Ordino to lift the three points offers value given their 60% win probability.