Nueva Chicago - CA Central Norte prediction 18 August 2025

Nueva Chicago vs CA Central Norte prediction: the hosts have a 45% chance to win this Primera Nacional encounter on Aug 18, 2025, at 18:30. Both teams are missing from the league’s top standings, making this a tight contest. The recent head-to-head record underlines how evenly matched they are, but home advantage and form give Nueva Chicago the edge.

Team Form

Nueva Chicago come into this match with a mixed recent run (W, D, L, W, L in their last five Primera Nacional outings). Their last three home games produced two wins (2-0 against Club Atletico Guemes and 2-0 against Chacarita Juniors) and a 0-0 draw with Atletico Rafaela, showing solid defensive work at their own ground.

CA Central Norte’s last five results read W, D, W, D, L. They have been strong at home, beating Godoy Cruz 1-0 and drawing 1-1 with CA San Miguel, but their only recent away match ended in a 2-1 defeat at Acassuso. That away loss, together with Nueva Chicago’s home stability, shifts the balance toward the hosts.

Head-to-Head Record

The two previous meetings between Nueva Chicago and CA Central Norte both ended in draws. They played a 0-0 on Aug 18, 2025 (the reverse fixture date) and a 1-1 on Apr 12, 2025, in the same competition. The head-to-head record stands at 0 home wins, 2 draws, and 0 away wins.

League Table Positions

Neither Nueva Chicago nor CA Central Norte feature in the top 12 of the overall Primera Nacional table, nor in the top 8 home or away rankings. This indicates both are lower-mid-table sides that will likely battle closely, similar to their previous draws.

Win Probability: Nueva Chicago or CA Central Norte?

Based on the available stats, the win probabilities for this match are:

• Nueva Chicago win: 45%
• Draw: 35%
• CA Central Norte win: 20%

The head-to-head record (two draws) suggests a very close affair. Nueva Chicago’s home performances over the last three games (two wins, one draw) and CA Central Norte’s single away loss tip the percentages in favor of the home side. However, the high draw probability reflects the tight nature of this rivalry.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are currently listed for this fixture. Based on the stats, home form, and head-to-head record, bookmakers would likely price Nueva Chicago as the favourite. Our prediction aligns with the win probability: Nueva Chicago are the more likely winner, but a draw is a realistic outcome. Betting tips should consider the “double chance” or “under 2.5 goals” markets given the low-scoring history in this matchup.