Nueva Chicago Reserves - Almirante Brown Reserves prediction 21 April 2026

Nueva Chicago Reserves vs Almirante Brown Reserves prediction: this Primera Nacional. Reserve League match is scheduled for Apr 21, 2026, at 15:00. Our analysis points to a home-favoring contest, with Nueva Chicago Reserves holding a 40% win probability, a draw at 35%, and Almirante Brown Reserves at 25%.

Team Form

Nueva Chicago Reserves come into this game having won two and lost three of their last five matches. On Jun 25, they secured a 1-0 home victory over CA Atlanta Reserves. Before that, they suffered a 0-2 away defeat to Deportivo Moron Reserves on Jun 18. A 3-0 home win against Acassuso Reserves on Jun 04 was a highlight, but back-to-back away losses to Tristan Suarez Reserves (0-2 on May 28) and a 2-3 home loss to Defensores de Belgrano Reserves on May 21 show inconsistency. Overall, they have scored 6 goals and conceded 7 in these five outings.

Almirante Brown Reserves have recorded one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five. Their most recent result was a 0-0 draw away at Colegiales Reserves on Jun 23. They lost 0-2 at home to CA Estudiantes Caseros Reserves on Jun 17, and earlier lost 1-2 away to CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve on Jun 11. A 0-0 draw away to the same opponent on Jun 04 and a 1-0 home win over CA San Miguel Reserves on May 26 complete the picture. They have managed only 2 goals in these five matches, conceding 4.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is limited to two meetings. On Aug 12, 2025, Nueva Chicago Reserves won 1-0 at home. The most recent clash on Apr 21, 2026 ended in a 0-0 draw. Nueva Chicago Reserves are unbeaten with one win and one draw, and they have yet to concede a goal to Almirante Brown Reserves at home.

League Table Positions

The Primera Nacional. Reserve League table shows neither team in the top 12. The leading sides, such as Velez Sarsfield Reserves (32 points) and Boca Juniors Reserves (27 points), are far ahead. This indicates that both Nueva Chicago Reserves and Almirante Brown Reserves are in the lower half of the standings, making this a battle between two teams likely fighting to improve their league position.

Win Probability: Nueva Chicago Reserves or Almirante Brown Reserves?

After evaluating all available data, we assign a 40% win probability to Nueva Chicago Reserves, 35% to a draw, and 25% to Almirante Brown Reserves. The home side benefits from a strong head-to-head record (unbeaten in two games) and the advantage of playing at home. However, their recent form (2W-3L) is not convincing, and they have lost three of their last five. Almirante Brown Reserves have struggled for goals on the road, scoring just twice in five away matches, which lowers their chances. The last meeting between these sides was a goalless draw, so a stalemate is a very plausible outcome. Overall, Nueva Chicago Reserves are the more likely winners, but the match could easily end level.

Odds & Match Prediction

Currently, no bookmaker odds are available for this fixture. Based on the stats, we anticipate a low-scoring affair. The most probable scorelines are 1-0 to Nueva Chicago Reserves or a 1-1 draw. Given the home team's slight edge, our prediction leans towards a home win, but with a draw as a strong secondary option. Once odds are released, they are likely to reflect the home favorite status.