The Cup match between Novi Pazar and Naftagas Elemir takes place on October 29, 2025, at 12:00 UTC. Our Novi Pazar vs Naftagas Elemir prediction gives the home side a 40% win probability, with the draw at 30% and the visitors at 30%.
Novi Pazar come into this match in poor form, with a record of L, D, D, L, L in their last five outings. All of those were friendly matches, but the results still highlight a lack of winning momentum. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those games, conceding at least once each time.
Naftagas Elemir, on the other hand, are flying high with five consecutive wins (W, W, W, W, W) in the Srpska Liga. They have scored 13 goals and conceded only 3 in that run, showing both offensive firepower and defensive solidity. However, it must be noted that the Srpska Liga is a lower tier than the competition Novi Pazar usually faces.
There is no previous head-to-head record between Novi Pazar and Naftagas Elemir. This will be their first competitive meeting, so no direct historical data can be used to predict the outcome.
League table positions are not available for this Cup fixture. However, Novi Pazar compete in a higher division than Naftagas Elemir, who play in the Srpska Liga. This gap in league status often gives the higher-tier side an advantage, but current form suggests the visitors could bridge that gap.
Based on the available data, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:
Novi Pazar are given a slight edge due to home advantage and their higher league status, but their recent form is a major concern. Naftagas Elemirโs perfect five-match winning streak cannot be ignored, even if it came against lower-league opposition. The draw probability is also significant, reflecting the uncertainty of a Cup tie where motivation and form often outweigh league positions. Overall, Novi Pazar are the marginal favorites, but this is a very open contest.
Bookmakers' odds for this match are not currently available. Without odds to use as a baseline, our prediction relies entirely on team form, league level, and home advantage. Based on the stats, Novi Pazar are the predicted winners with a 40% chance, but the high draw and away win probabilities mean a bet on the home side carries risk. Our match prediction: Novi Pazar to win, though a draw or Naftagas Elemir victory would not be a surprise.