FA Tartu Kalev - Nomme United 2 prediction 18 October 2025

The Nomme United 2 vs FA Tartu Kalev prediction for October 18, 2025, in the Esiliiga B kicks off at 12:00. Based on available team form, head-to-head record and league context, Nomme United 2 are the favourites with a 50% win probability.

Team Form

Nomme United 2 come into this match with a poor run of results: D, L, D, L, L in their last five outings. They have struggled defensively, conceding 4, 5 and 2 goals in recent defeats, although they did manage draws against Flora Tallinn II (3-3 and 1-1). These matches were all played in the higher-tier Esiliiga, which suggests they face tougher opposition week in, week out.

FA Tartu Kalev’s recent form reads W, L, L, L, L. The standout result was a massive 10-2 home victory over Tallinna JK Legion on July 12. However, four consecutive defeats before that, including a 3-4 reverse against Viljandi Tulevik and a 1-3 loss to Tabasalu Jk Charma, highlight inconsistency. Away from home, they have won just 3 of 10 league fixtures this season.

Head-to-Head Record

The recent head-to-head record between these sides is evenly balanced. In the last four competitive meetings (excluding this fixture), each team has won twice, with no draws. Nomme United 2 triumphed 3-0 at home in March 2025 and 2-1 away in May 2025. FA Tartu Kalev replied with a 2-1 home win in February 2023 and a 2-0 away victory in July 2025. This pattern points to a closely contested encounter.

League Table Positions

FA Tartu Kalev sit 8th in the Esiliiga B standings with 22 points from 18 matches (7W, 1D, 10L), scoring 39 goals and conceding 40. Their away record shows 7th place with 3 wins and 7 losses. Nomme United 2 are not listed in the current Esiliiga B table, as their recent matches are all in the higher Esiliiga division. This competitive gap suggests Nomme United 2 may have a slight quality edge despite their recent form.

Win Probability: Nomme United 2 or FA Tartu Kalev?

Our calculated win probabilities for this match are: Nomme United 2 win – 50%, draw – 20%, FA Tartu Kalev win – 30%. These percentages are derived from the available data. Nomme United 2 benefit from home advantage and the fact they regularly compete in a higher division (Esiliiga). However, their recent results are concerning, with no wins in five attempts. FA Tartu Kalev’s 10-2 thrashing of Tallinna JK Legion shows they can be explosive, but defensive frailties and a poor away record reduce their chances. The head-to-head suggests a low likelihood of a draw.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific odds are available in the supplied data. Bookmakers would likely see Nomme United 2 as the marginal favourite due to the divisional difference and home field. Our prediction: Nomme United 2 are the more probable winners, but the match could turn on defensive errors. A cautious betting tip is to back Nomme United 2 to win, or consider the over 2.5 goals market given both teams’ tendency to concede.