Nigeria - Tunisia prediction 27 December 2025

Africa · African Cup of NationsFinished
Nigeria
3:2
Dec 27, 2025
FT
Tunisia
Match Info
CompetitionAfrican Cup of Nations · Africa
Start dateDec 27, 2025
Kick-off20:00
VenueStade Mohammed V, Casablanca
Capacity67,000
Surfaceartificial
Recent Form
Nigeria
L
D
W
W
D
Tunisia
L
L
L
L
L
Recent matches · Nigeria
Friendly InternationalJun 10
Portugal
Nigeria
21
L
Friendly InternationalJun 03
Poland
Nigeria
22
D
Friendly InternationalMay 30
Jamaica
Nigeria
03
W
Friendly InternationalMay 26
Nigeria
Zimbabwe
20
W
Friendly InternationalMar 31
Jordan
Nigeria
22
D
Friendly InternationalMar 27
Iran
Nigeria
12
W
African Cup of NationsJan 17
Egypt
Nigeria
00
D
African Cup of NationsJan 14
Morocco
Nigeria
00
D
African Cup of NationsJan 10
Algeria
Nigeria
02
W
African Cup of NationsJan 05
Nigeria
Mozambique
40
W
African Cup of NationsDec 30
Uganda
Nigeria
13
W
African Cup of NationsDec 27
Nigeria
Tunisia
32
W
African Cup of NationsDec 23
Nigeria
Tanzania
21
W
Friendly InternationalDec 16
Egypt
Nigeria
21
L
World Cup Qualification AfricaNov 16
Nigeria
Congo DR
11
D
Recent matches · Tunisia
World CupJun 25
Tunisia
Netherlands
13
L
World CupJun 21
Tunisia
Japan
04
L
World CupJun 15
Sweden
Tunisia
51
L
Friendly InternationalJun 06
Belgium
Tunisia
50
L
Friendly InternationalJun 01
Austria
Tunisia
10
L
Friendly InternationalMar 31
Canada
Tunisia
00
D
Friendly InternationalMar 29
Haiti
Tunisia
01
W
African Cup of NationsJan 03
Mali
Tunisia
11
D
African Cup of NationsDec 30
Tanzania
Tunisia
11
D
African Cup of NationsDec 27
Nigeria
Tunisia
32
L
African Cup of NationsDec 23
Tunisia
Uganda
31
W
Arab CupDec 07
Qatar
Tunisia
03
W
Arab CupDec 04
Palestine
Tunisia
22
D
Arab CupDec 01
Tunisia
Syria
01
L
Friendly InternationalNov 18
Brazil
Tunisia
11
D
Odds
Full Time Result
Lineups
Nigeria4-3-1-2
  • 17A. IwobiM
  • 17A. IwobiM
  • 21C. BasseyD
  • 21C. BasseyD
  • 8F. OnyekaM
  • 8F. OnyekaM
  • 23S. NwabaliG
  • 23S. NwabaliG
  • 22A. LookmanM
  • 22A. LookmanM
  • 4W. NdidiM
  • 4W. NdidiM
  • 26B. Osayi-SamuelD
  • 26B. Osayi-SamuelD
  • 6S. AjayiD
  • 6S. AjayiD
  • 45V. OsimhenF
  • 45V. OsimhenF
  • 13S. OnyemaechiD
  • 13S. OnyemaechiD
  • 22A. AdamsF
  • 22A. AdamsF
Substitutes
  • 5I. Ogbu
  • 5I. Ogbu
  • 3Z. Sanusi
  • 3Z. Sanusi
  • 10F. Dele-Bashiru
  • 10F. Dele-Bashiru
  • 1F. Uzoho
  • 1F. Uzoho
  • 19P. Onuachu
  • 19P. Onuachu
  • 20R. Onyedika
  • 20R. Onyedika
  • 19S. Chukwueze
  • 19S. Chukwueze
  • 15M. Simon
  • 15M. Simon
  • 2R. Alebiosu
  • 2R. Alebiosu
  • 12T. Nnadi
  • 12T. Nnadi
  • 12C. Dessers
  • 12C. Dessers
  • 21C. Ejuke
  • 21C. Ejuke
  • 14E. Akinsanmiro
  • 14E. Akinsanmiro
  • 12A. Obasogie
  • 12A. Obasogie
  • 6C. Awaziem
  • 6C. Awaziem
Tunisia4-3-3
  • 10H. MejbriM
  • 10H. MejbriF
  • 20Y. ValeryD
  • 20Y. ValeryD
  • 17E. SkhiriM
  • 17E. SkhiriM
  • 6D. BronnD
  • 6D. BronnD
  • 13F. SassiM
  • 13F. SassiM
  • 9H. MastouriF
  • 9H. MastouriF
  • 7E. AchouriF
  • 7E. AchouriF
  • 5M. Ben RomdhaneM
  • 5M. Ben RomdhaneM
  • 16A. DahmenG
  • 16A. DahmenG
  • 2A. AbdiD
  • 2A. AbdiD
  • 3M. TalbiD
  • 3M. TalbiD
Substitutes
  • 5Y. Meriah
  • 5Y. Meriah
  • 30S. Jaziri
  • 30S. Jaziri
  • 22N. Farhati
  • 22N. Farhati
  • 10A. Maâloul
  • 10A. Maâloul
  • 5N. Sliti
  • 5N. Sliti
  • 19F. Chaouat
  • 19F. Chaouat
  • 11Ismaël Gharbi
  • 11Ismaël Gharbi
  • 8E. Saad
  • 8E. Saad
  • 5A. Arous
  • 5A. Arous
  • 12M. Ben Ouanes
  • 12M. Ben Ouanes
  • 32B. Ben Saïd
  • 32B. Ben Saïd
  • 8Houssem Teka
  • 8Houssem Teka
  • 14M. Ben Ali
  • 14M. Ben Ali
  • 26S. Tounekti
  • 26S. Tounekti
  • 15H. Mahmoud
  • 15H. Mahmoud
Timeline
  • 44'EventV. Osimhen
Head-to-Head · summary
2
Nigeria
1
Draws
5
Tunisia
Previous meetings
African Cup of NationsDec 27
Nigeria
Tunisia
32
African Cup of NationsJan 23
Nigeria
Tunisia
01
Premier DivisionJan 05
Tunisia
Nigeria
52
Friendly InternationalOct 13
Tunisia
Nigeria
11
African Cup of NationsJul 17
Tunisia
Nigeria
01
African Cup of NationsOct 16
Nigeria
Tunisia
23
African Cup of NationsOct 16
Nigeria
Tunisia
23
African Cup of NationsOct 13
Tunisia
Nigeria
10

Nigeria vs Tunisia Prediction (Dec 27)

The Nigeria vs Tunisia prediction for the African Cup of Nations match on December 27, 2025, at 20:00, leans strongly towards a Nigeria victory. Based on recent form, Nigeria has a 55% chance of winning, while the draw sits at 25% and Tunisia has just a 20% chance.

Team Form

Nigeria come into this match with a mixed but decent recent run: L, D, W, W, D in their last five outings. That includes a 3-0 win over Jamaica, a 2-0 victory against Zimbabwe, and draws against Poland (2-2) and Jordan (2-2). Their only loss in that spell was a narrow 2-1 defeat to Portugal.

Tunisia, on the other hand, are in terrible form—five straight losses. They suffered heavy defeats to Netherlands (1-3), Japan (0-4), Sweden (1-5), Belgium (0-5), and a 1-0 loss to Austria. Conceding 18 goals in those five games highlights their defensive frailties.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, Tunisia have the upper hand in this fixture. In the eight previous meetings, Tunisia have won five, Nigeria two, with one draw. The most recent encounter prior to this match was a 1-0 win for Tunisia in the 2022 African Cup of Nations. Nigeria’s last victory over Tunisia came in the 2019 African Cup of Nations (1-0).

Win Probability: Nigeria or Tunisia?

Nigeria have a 55% probability of winning this match, the draw is at 25%, and Tunisia have a 20% chance. This calculation is based on the stark contrast in current form: Nigeria have collected 9 points from a possible 15 in their last five matches, while Tunisia have lost every single one of their last five, conceding heavily. Although the head-to-head record favours Tunisia, Nigeria’s superior recent performances and confidence make them the clear favourites.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this fixture were not available at the time of writing. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely price Nigeria as the favourites. Our Nigeria vs Tunisia prediction is a Nigeria win, with a 55% probability, reflecting their better form and Tunisia’s ongoing struggles.

Nigeria vs Tunisia — FAQ

Who will win Nigeria vs Tunisia?
Nigeria has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Tunisia has a 20% chance. Nigeria are the more likely winners based on their recent form.
What is the win probability for Nigeria?
Nigeria have a 55% chance to win this match. This is due to their solid recent run of two wins, two draws, and one loss, compared to Tunisia’s five consecutive defeats.
When is the Nigeria vs Tunisia match?
The match is on December 27, 2025, at 20:00. It is an African Cup of Nations fixture, played at Stade Mohammed V in Casablanca.
What are the odds for the match?
Odds for Nigeria vs Tunisia were not available at the time of writing. Check your preferred bookmaker for the latest odds.
What is the head-to-head record between Nigeria and Tunisia?
In eight previous meetings, Nigeria have won twice, Tunisia have won five times, and there has been one draw. The last match between them was a 1-0 win for Tunisia in the 2022 African Cup of Nations.
Nigeria – Tunisia · match page