The Nigeria vs Tunisia prediction for the African Cup of Nations match on December 27, 2025, at 20:00, leans strongly towards a Nigeria victory. Based on recent form, Nigeria has a 55% chance of winning, while the draw sits at 25% and Tunisia has just a 20% chance.
Nigeria come into this match with a mixed but decent recent run: L, D, W, W, D in their last five outings. That includes a 3-0 win over Jamaica, a 2-0 victory against Zimbabwe, and draws against Poland (2-2) and Jordan (2-2). Their only loss in that spell was a narrow 2-1 defeat to Portugal.
Tunisia, on the other hand, are in terrible form—five straight losses. They suffered heavy defeats to Netherlands (1-3), Japan (0-4), Sweden (1-5), Belgium (0-5), and a 1-0 loss to Austria. Conceding 18 goals in those five games highlights their defensive frailties.
Historically, Tunisia have the upper hand in this fixture. In the eight previous meetings, Tunisia have won five, Nigeria two, with one draw. The most recent encounter prior to this match was a 1-0 win for Tunisia in the 2022 African Cup of Nations. Nigeria’s last victory over Tunisia came in the 2019 African Cup of Nations (1-0).
Nigeria have a 55% probability of winning this match, the draw is at 25%, and Tunisia have a 20% chance. This calculation is based on the stark contrast in current form: Nigeria have collected 9 points from a possible 15 in their last five matches, while Tunisia have lost every single one of their last five, conceding heavily. Although the head-to-head record favours Tunisia, Nigeria’s superior recent performances and confidence make them the clear favourites.
Odds for this fixture were not available at the time of writing. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely price Nigeria as the favourites. Our Nigeria vs Tunisia prediction is a Nigeria win, with a 55% probability, reflecting their better form and Tunisia’s ongoing struggles.