The Nice vs Monaco prediction for the Ligue 1 clash on Feb 08, 2026, at 14:00 points to an away win. Based on head-to-head history and recent form, Monaco enters this match as the favorite with a 40% win probability, while Nice has a 25% chance and the draw stands at 35%.
Nice's last five matches show a mixed run: a 4-1 win over Saint Etienne, a 0-0 draw at Saint Etienne, a 3-1 cup loss at Lens, a 0-0 home draw with Metz, and a 2-1 defeat at Auxerre. That's one win, two draws, and two losses, with only one clean sheet in that span.
Monaco's recent form is equally inconsistent. They lost 5-4 at Strasbourg, fell 1-0 at home to LOSC Lille, won 2-1 at Metz, drew 2-2 at Toulouse, and drew 2-2 at home with Auxerre. Also one win, two draws, and two losses, but they've scored in four of those five games.
In 26 previous meetings, Monaco holds the edge with 11 wins to Nice's 6, plus 9 draws. The last five encounters have been tight: a 0-0 draw in this fixture, a 2-2 draw at Monaco, a 2-1 Monaco home win, a 2-1 Nice home win, and a 3-2 Monaco away victory. That's two Monaco wins, one Nice win, and two draws in the most recent clashes.
No current league table data is available for this match, but the head-to-head gap suggests Monaco has historically performed better in Ligue 1 meetings.
We calculate the win probability based on head-to-head stats and recent form. Monaco's overall H2H win rate of 42% and their two wins in the last five meetings give them a clear edge. Nice's home advantage is offset by a 23% historical win rate in this fixture. The draw has occurred in 35% of all meetings, and both teams' recent form includes multiple stalemates. Therefore, the probabilities are: Monaco win 40%, draw 35%, Nice win 25%. Monaco is the more likely winner, but a draw is a strong possibility.
Bookmakers' odds for this match are not available in the current data. Based on the stats, Monaco is the favorite. Our Nice vs Monaco prediction is an away win or draw double chance, with the most probable outcome being a low-scoring affair given the recent 0-0 in this fixture.